Portimonense at Estoril

Updated

Portimonense

23.4%27.9%48.7%
Portimonense WinDrawEstoril Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.35
0Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Portimonense
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Porto+1050
T 0-0 vs FC Vizela+155
L 0-4 at Benfica+2175
T 1-1 vs Vitoria+340
L 0-3 at Estrela+295
Estoril
Money Line
L 1-3 at Benfica+850
L 3-1 vs Vitoria+225
T 3-3 at FC Vizela+195
L 3-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+115
L 1-2 at Boavista+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+350+401+380+405+414+405+414+430.0
Estoril-135-144-145-145-145-145-144-129.3
Draw+280+299+275+285+292+285+299+304.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+415----+440+440+430.0
Estoril-155-----160-160-129.3
Draw+300----+300+300+304.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 30.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portimonense ML moved from +424 to +414
Estoril ML moved from -158 to -164

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 40.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 30.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portimonense ML moved from +415 to +400
Estoril ML moved from -150 to -160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-137o2¾-110o2¾-103o2¾-106o2¾-103o2¾-103o2¾+106
Underu2½+102u2½+117u2¾-110u2¾-117u2¾-112u2¾-117u2¾-110u2¾-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+106
Under-----u2¾-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-122 to o3¼+102
The Under moved from u3¼-122 to u2½+102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.3%
 
No57.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.12%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 410.79%
Exactly 61.74%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.42%
Exactly 319.64%
Exactly 54.74%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Portimonense
Exactly 042.97%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 215.33%
Exactly 34.31%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 025.87%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 223.65%
Exactly 310.66%
Exactly 43.60%
Exactly 50.97%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.16%
Exactly 218.71%
Exactly 41.61%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.34%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portimonense
Exactly 067.64%
Exactly 126.45%
Exactly 25.17%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 053.47%
Exactly 133.48%
Exactly 210.48%
Exactly 32.19%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Portimonense
Wins by 2+ goals7.51%
Wins by 3+ goals1.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals23.20%
Wins by 3+ goals8.58%
Wins by 4+ goals2.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

Portimonense
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Portimonense
Wins by 1 goal15.87%
Wins by 2 goals5.71%
Wins by 3 goals1.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal25.41%
Wins by 2 goals14.63%
Wins by 3 goals6.05%
Wins by 4 goals1.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.88%11.12%
1.564.46%35.54%
2.537.64%62.36%
3.518.00%82.00%
4.57.21%92.79%
5.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Portimonense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.03%42.97%
1.520.73%79.27%
2.55.40%94.60%
3.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.13%25.87%
1.539.16%60.84%
2.515.51%84.49%
3.54.85%95.15%
4.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.84%36.16%
1.527.05%72.95%
2.58.35%91.65%
3.52.01%97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Portimonense
Estoril
Score012345
0
11.12%
15.03%
10.16%
4.58%
1.55%
0.42%
1
9.39%
12.69%
8.58%
3.87%
1.31%
0.35%
2
3.96%
5.36%
3.62%
1.63%
0.55%
0.15%
3
1.12%
1.51%
1.02%
0.46%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.24%
0.32%
0.22%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Portimonense
1-09.39%
2-03.96%
2-15.36%
3-01.12%
3-11.51%
3-21.02%
4-00.24%
4-10.32%
4-20.22%
Draw
0-011.12%
1-112.69%
2-23.62%
3-30.46%
Estoril
0-115.03%
0-210.16%
1-28.58%
0-34.58%
1-33.87%
2-31.63%
0-41.55%
1-41.31%
2-40.55%
3-40.16%
0-50.42%
1-50.35%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Portimonense
Estoril
Score01234
0
36.16%
22.64%
7.09%
1.48%
0.23%
1
14.14%
8.85%
2.77%
0.58%
0.09%
2
2.76%
1.73%
0.54%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.36%
0.23%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Portimonense
1-014.14%
2-02.76%
2-11.73%
3-00.36%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-036.16%
1-18.85%
2-20.54%
Estoril
0-122.64%
0-27.09%
1-22.77%
0-31.48%
1-30.58%
2-30.11%
0-40.23%