Moreirense at Tondela

Updated

Moreirense

25.9%27.2%46.9%
Moreirense WinDrawTondela Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.39
0Final Score 2

Tondela

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Estrela+215
L 1-4 at Benfica+2000
W 0-1 vs Estoril+180
T 1-1 at Famalicao+700
L 1-0 vs Braga+620
Tondela
Money Line
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC+235
T 2-2 at Sporting CP+1900
L 2-0 vs Nacional+180
L 0-2 at Porto+2200
T 2-2 vs Gil Vicente FC+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+270-+300+300+300+300+300+328.0
Tondela-102--105-107-107-107-105+107.0
Draw+245-+230+230+230+230+230+253.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+290----+300+300+328.0
Tondela-110----+100+100+107.0
Draw+270----+230+230+253.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 10.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +310 to +300
Tondela ML moved from -101 to -107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 10.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +315 to +300
Tondela ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125-o2¼-118o2¼-116o2¼-116o2¼-116o2¼-116o2¼-105
Underu2¼+105-u2¼-102u2¼-104u2¼-104u2¼-104u2¼-102u2¼+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-105
Under-----u2¼+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.51%
Exactly 226.32%
Exactly 412.14%
Exactly 62.24%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.38%
Exactly 320.64%
Exactly 55.71%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 038.31%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.63%
Exactly 35.64%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 024.83%
Exactly 134.59%
Exactly 224.10%
Exactly 311.19%
Exactly 43.90%
Exactly 51.09%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.65%
Exactly 219.96%
Exactly 41.97%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.25%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 064.14%
Exactly 128.49%
Exactly 26.33%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 052.46%
Exactly 133.84%
Exactly 210.92%
Exactly 32.35%
Exactly 40.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals9.10%
Wins by 3+ goals2.42%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals22.57%
Wins by 3+ goals8.47%
Wins by 4+ goals2.54%
Wins by 5+ goals0.61%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Tondela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal16.74%
Wins by 2 goals6.68%
Wins by 3 goals1.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal24.32%
Wins by 2 goals14.10%
Wins by 3 goals5.93%
Wins by 4 goals1.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.49%9.51%
1.568.11%31.89%
2.541.79%58.21%
3.521.14%78.86%
4.59.00%91.00%
5.53.29%96.71%
6.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.69%38.31%
1.524.93%75.07%
2.57.30%92.70%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.17%24.83%
1.540.58%59.42%
2.516.49%83.51%
3.55.30%94.70%
4.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.35%33.65%
1.529.70%70.30%
2.59.74%90.26%
3.52.50%97.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Tondela
Score012345
0
9.51%
13.25%
9.23%
4.29%
1.49%
0.42%
1
9.13%
12.71%
8.86%
4.11%
1.43%
0.40%
2
4.38%
6.10%
4.25%
1.97%
0.69%
0.19%
3
1.40%
1.95%
1.36%
0.63%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.34%
0.47%
0.33%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-09.13%
2-04.38%
2-16.10%
3-01.40%
3-11.95%
3-21.36%
4-00.34%
4-10.47%
4-20.33%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.51%
1-112.71%
2-24.25%
3-30.63%
Tondela
0-113.25%
0-29.23%
1-28.86%
0-34.29%
1-34.11%
2-31.97%
0-41.49%
1-41.43%
2-40.69%
3-40.22%
0-50.42%
1-50.40%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Tondela
Score01234
0
33.65%
21.70%
7.00%
1.51%
0.24%
1
14.94%
9.64%
3.11%
0.67%
0.11%
2
3.32%
2.14%
0.69%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.49%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-014.94%
2-03.32%
2-12.14%
3-00.49%
3-10.32%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.65%
1-19.64%
2-20.69%
Tondela
0-121.70%
0-27.00%
1-23.11%
0-31.51%
1-30.67%
2-30.15%
0-40.24%
1-40.11%
Arouca at Gil Vicente FC
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