Estoril at Moreirense

Updated

Estoril

28.8%28.7%42.4%
Estoril WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.24
0Final Score 1

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Porto+700
L 2-3 at Arouca+175
L 2-1 vs Rio Ave-135
W 1-0 at Nacional+220
T 0-0 vs Casa Pia AC-135
Moreirense
Money Line
T 1-1 at Famalicao+700
L 1-0 vs Braga+620
L 1-0 vs Arouca+175
L 0-3 at Porto+1450
T 1-1 vs Nacional+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+136-+154+156+164+164+164+177.8
Moreirense+200-+173+176+170+170+173+184.1
Draw+225-+230+230+230+230+230+247.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+135----+155+155+177.8
Moreirense+210----+180+180+184.1
Draw+230----+230+230+247.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +134 to +128
Moreirense ML moved from +178 to +171

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +135 to +125
Moreirense ML moved from +210 to +180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108-o2½-118o2¾+114o2¾+114o2¾+114o2½-118o2¾+123
Underu2½-112-u2½-102u2¾-134u2¾-134u2¾-134u2¾-134u2¾-123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+123
Under-----u2¾-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.0%
 
No56.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.01%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 410.87%
Exactly 61.76%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.29%
Exactly 319.71%
Exactly 54.80%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 038.00%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.79%
Exactly 35.74%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 028.98%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 222.23%
Exactly 39.18%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.01%
Exactly 218.78%
Exactly 41.63%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.40%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 063.89%
Exactly 128.62%
Exactly 26.41%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 056.36%
Exactly 132.32%
Exactly 29.27%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals10.35%
Wins by 3+ goals2.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals18.77%
Wins by 3+ goals6.41%
Wins by 4+ goals1.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal18.45%
Wins by 2 goals7.55%
Wins by 3 goals2.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal23.62%
Wins by 2 goals12.37%
Wins by 3 goals4.67%
Wins by 4 goals1.36%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.99%11.01%
1.564.69%35.31%
2.537.90%62.10%
3.518.19%81.81%
4.57.32%92.68%
5.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.00%38.00%
1.525.23%74.77%
2.57.44%92.56%
3.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.02%28.98%
1.535.13%64.87%
2.512.90%87.10%
3.53.72%96.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.99%36.01%
1.527.21%72.79%
2.58.43%91.57%
3.52.03%97.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Moreirense
Score012345
0
11.01%
13.64%
8.45%
3.49%
1.08%
0.27%
1
10.66%
13.20%
8.17%
3.37%
1.04%
0.26%
2
5.16%
6.39%
3.95%
1.63%
0.51%
0.13%
3
1.66%
2.06%
1.28%
0.53%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.40%
0.50%
0.31%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Estoril
1-010.66%
2-05.16%
2-16.39%
3-01.66%
3-12.06%
3-21.28%
4-00.40%
4-10.50%
4-20.31%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-011.01%
1-113.20%
2-23.95%
3-30.53%
Moreirense
0-113.64%
0-28.45%
1-28.17%
0-33.49%
1-33.37%
2-31.63%
0-41.08%
1-41.04%
2-40.51%
3-40.16%
0-50.27%
1-50.26%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Moreirense
Score01234
0
36.01%
20.65%
5.92%
1.13%
0.16%
1
16.13%
9.25%
2.65%
0.51%
0.07%
2
3.61%
2.07%
0.59%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.54%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-016.13%
2-03.61%
2-12.07%
3-00.54%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-036.01%
1-19.25%
2-20.59%
Moreirense
0-120.65%
0-25.92%
1-22.65%
0-31.13%
1-30.51%
2-30.11%
0-40.16%
Tondela at Porto
Braga at Casa Pia AC