Estoril at Braga

Updated

Estoril

11.9%18.9%69.2%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.75Projected Goals 2.13
1Final Score 1

Braga

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Famalicao+300
L 0-1 at Moreirense+155
L 3-1 vs Porto+700
L 2-3 at Arouca+175
L 2-1 vs Rio Ave-135
Braga
Money Line
L 1-2 at Santa Clara+195
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC-165
T 2-2 vs Famalicao-110
W 0-1 vs Arouca-245
W 1-0 at Moreirense-200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+475-+450+430+430+430+450+462.2
Braga-206--180-169-169-169-169-145.2
Draw+355-+315+310+310+310+315+334.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+440----+500+500+462.2
Braga-175-----185-185-145.2
Draw+335----+325+325+334.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +460 to +430
Braga ML moved from -174 to -188

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 40.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +440 to +350
Braga ML moved from -145 to -185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108-o2¾-120o2¾-124o2¾-124o2¾-124o2¾-120o2¾-113
Underu3-112-u2¾+100u2¾+104u2¾+104u2¾+104u2¾+104u2¾+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-113
Under-----u2¾+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-118 to u2¾-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.62%
Exactly 223.29%
Exactly 416.08%
Exactly 64.44%
Exactly 80.66%
 
Exactly 116.18%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 59.26%
Exactly 71.83%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 047.27%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 213.27%
Exactly 33.32%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 011.90%
Exactly 125.33%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 319.13%
Exactly 410.18%
Exactly 54.34%
Exactly 61.54%
Exactly 70.47%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.38%
Exactly 223.42%
Exactly 43.47%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 310.41%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 070.68%
Exactly 124.52%
Exactly 24.25%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 037.32%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.13%
Exactly 35.96%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals3.21%
Wins by 3+ goals0.63%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals44.77%
Wins by 3+ goals23.74%
Wins by 4+ goals10.46%
Wins by 5+ goals3.89%
Wins by 6+ goals1.23%
Wins by 7+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal8.59%
Wins by 2 goals2.59%
Wins by 3 goals0.55%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal24.42%
Wins by 2 goals21.02%
Wins by 3 goals13.28%
Wins by 4 goals6.57%
Wins by 5 goals2.66%
Wins by 6 goals0.91%
Wins by 7 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.38%5.62%
1.578.19%21.81%
2.554.90%45.10%
3.532.55%67.45%
4.516.47%83.53%
5.57.22%92.78%
6.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.73%47.27%
1.517.31%82.69%
2.54.04%95.96%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.10%11.90%
1.562.78%37.22%
2.535.82%64.18%
3.516.69%83.31%
4.56.50%93.50%
5.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.62%26.38%
1.538.47%61.53%
2.515.05%84.95%
3.54.64%95.36%
4.51.18%98.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Braga
Score012345
0
5.62%
11.97%
12.74%
9.04%
4.81%
2.05%
1
4.21%
8.97%
9.55%
6.78%
3.61%
1.54%
2
1.58%
3.36%
3.58%
2.54%
1.35%
0.58%
3
0.39%
0.84%
0.89%
0.63%
0.34%
0.14%
Estoril
1-04.21%
2-01.58%
2-13.36%
3-00.39%
3-10.84%
3-20.89%
Draw
0-05.62%
1-18.97%
2-23.58%
3-30.63%
Braga
0-111.97%
0-212.74%
1-29.55%
0-39.04%
1-36.78%
2-32.54%
0-44.81%
1-43.61%
2-41.35%
3-40.34%
0-52.05%
1-51.54%
2-50.58%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Braga
Score012345
0
26.38%
26.00%
12.81%
4.21%
1.04%
0.20%
1
9.15%
9.02%
4.45%
1.46%
0.36%
0.07%
2
1.59%
1.57%
0.77%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Estoril
1-09.15%
2-01.59%
2-11.57%
3-00.18%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-026.38%
1-19.02%
2-20.77%
Braga
0-126.00%
0-212.81%
1-24.45%
0-34.21%
1-31.46%
2-30.25%
0-41.04%
1-40.36%
0-50.20%