Alverca at Estoril

Updated

Alverca

22.6%25.8%51.6%
Alverca WinDrawEstoril Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.53
1Final Score 4

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Alverca
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Porto+845
L 0-1 at Arouca+145
W 0-1 vs Nacional+115
W 2-0 at Casa Pia AC+195
T 1-1 vs Rio Ave+115
Estoril
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Braga+430
L 0-4 at Famalicao+390
T 3-3 vs Moreirense+125
L 0-1 at Porto+1500
W 3-4 vs Arouca-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alverca+210-+245+200+200+200+245+225.2
Estoril+123-+109+119+119+119+119+137.4
Draw+240-+235+240+240+240+240+268.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alverca+220----+240+240+225.2
Estoril+120----+120+120+137.4
Draw+255----+230+230+268.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alverca: 0.0%
Estoril: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alverca: 60.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alverca ML moved from +194 to +175
Estoril ML moved from +131 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alverca: 0.0%
Estoril: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alverca: 50.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alverca ML moved from +230 to +220
Estoril ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-120-o2½-108o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½+109
Underu2¼+100-u2½-112u2½-120u2½-120u2½-120u2½-112u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.65%
Exactly 225.91%
Exactly 412.94%
Exactly 62.58%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.17%
Exactly 321.14%
Exactly 56.33%
Exactly 70.90%
Exact Goals Scored - Alverca
Exactly 039.97%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.81%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 021.63%
Exactly 133.12%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 312.94%
Exactly 44.95%
Exactly 51.52%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.19%
Exactly 220.68%
Exactly 42.21%
 
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 37.81%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alverca
Exactly 065.40%
Exactly 127.77%
Exactly 25.90%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 049.22%
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 212.37%
Exactly 32.92%
Exactly 40.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alverca
Wins by 2+ goals7.59%
Wins by 3+ goals1.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals26.55%
Wins by 3+ goals10.76%
Wins by 4+ goals3.50%
Wins by 5+ goals0.90%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Alverca
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Alverca
Wins by 1 goal14.96%
Wins by 2 goals5.66%
Wins by 3 goals1.56%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal24.98%
Wins by 2 goals15.79%
Wins by 3 goals7.26%
Wins by 4 goals2.60%
Wins by 5 goals0.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.35%8.65%
1.570.19%29.81%
2.544.28%55.72%
3.523.14%76.86%
4.510.20%89.80%
5.53.86%96.14%
6.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Alverca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.03%39.97%
1.523.38%76.62%
2.56.57%93.43%
3.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.37%21.63%
1.545.25%54.75%
2.519.90%80.10%
3.56.96%93.04%
4.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.81%32.19%
1.531.32%68.68%
2.510.64%89.36%
3.52.83%97.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alverca
Estoril
Score012345
0
8.65%
13.24%
10.13%
5.17%
1.98%
0.61%
1
7.93%
12.14%
9.29%
4.74%
1.81%
0.56%
2
3.64%
5.57%
4.26%
2.17%
0.83%
0.25%
3
1.11%
1.70%
1.30%
0.66%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.25%
0.39%
0.30%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Alverca
1-07.93%
2-03.64%
2-15.57%
3-01.11%
3-11.70%
3-21.30%
4-00.25%
4-10.39%
4-20.30%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-08.65%
1-112.14%
2-24.26%
3-30.66%
Estoril
0-113.24%
0-210.13%
1-29.29%
0-35.17%
1-34.74%
2-32.17%
0-41.98%
1-41.81%
2-40.83%
3-40.25%
0-50.61%
1-50.56%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Alverca
Estoril
Score01234
0
32.19%
22.82%
8.09%
1.91%
0.34%
1
13.67%
9.69%
3.43%
0.81%
0.14%
2
2.90%
2.06%
0.73%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.41%
0.29%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Alverca
1-013.67%
2-02.90%
2-12.06%
3-00.41%
3-10.29%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-032.19%
1-19.69%
2-20.73%
Estoril
0-122.82%
0-28.09%
1-23.43%
0-31.91%
1-30.81%
2-30.17%
0-40.34%
1-40.14%