Arouca at Estoril

Updated

Arouca

24.9%27.9%47.2%
Arouca WinDrawEstoril Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.34
3Final Score 4

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Moreirense+155
L 0-5 at Benfica+1400
T 1-1 vs Famalicao+320
L 4-0 vs Porto+1000
W 2-1 at Nacional+240
Estoril
Money Line
W 4-0 at Rio Ave+230
T 1-1 vs Nacional+145
T 2-2 at Casa Pia AC+170
L 1-0 vs Sporting CP+975
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+310

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+235+281+300+240+235+240+300+272.1
Estoril+104+100-108-106-104-106+100+112.7
Draw+260+260+240+250+250+250+260+283.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+255----+285+285+272.1
Estoril+100-----105-105+112.7
Draw+270----+260+260+283.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 10.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 50.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +275 to +265
Estoril ML moved from -108 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 10.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 20.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arouca ML
Estoril ML moved from +105 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-107o2½-105o2½-110o2½-109o2½-110o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2½-115u2½-109u2½-115u2½-110u2½-111u2½-110u2½-109u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.76%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 411.08%
Exactly 61.84%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 123.98%
Exactly 319.87%
Exactly 54.94%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 041.08%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 216.26%
Exactly 34.82%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 026.18%
Exactly 135.09%
Exactly 223.51%
Exactly 310.50%
Exactly 43.52%
Exactly 50.94%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.62%
Exactly 218.98%
Exactly 41.69%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.53%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 066.24%
Exactly 127.28%
Exactly 25.62%
Exactly 30.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 053.77%
Exactly 133.36%
Exactly 210.35%
Exactly 32.14%
Exactly 40.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals8.30%
Wins by 3+ goals2.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals22.25%
Wins by 3+ goals8.14%
Wins by 4+ goals2.37%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal16.53%
Wins by 2 goals6.22%
Wins by 3 goals1.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal24.89%
Wins by 2 goals14.11%
Wins by 3 goals5.76%
Wins by 4 goals1.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.24%10.76%
1.565.26%34.74%
2.538.52%61.48%
3.518.65%81.35%
4.57.57%92.43%
5.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.92%41.08%
1.522.37%77.63%
2.56.12%93.88%
3.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.82%26.18%
1.538.73%61.27%
2.515.22%84.78%
3.54.72%95.28%
4.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.38%35.62%
1.527.61%72.39%
2.58.63%91.37%
3.52.10%97.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Estoril
Score012345
0
10.76%
14.41%
9.66%
4.31%
1.45%
0.39%
1
9.57%
12.82%
8.59%
3.84%
1.29%
0.34%
2
4.26%
5.70%
3.82%
1.71%
0.57%
0.15%
3
1.26%
1.69%
1.13%
0.51%
0.17%
0.05%
4
0.28%
0.38%
0.25%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Arouca
1-09.57%
2-04.26%
2-15.70%
3-01.26%
3-11.69%
3-21.13%
4-00.28%
4-10.38%
4-20.25%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-010.76%
1-112.82%
2-23.82%
3-30.51%
Estoril
0-114.41%
0-29.66%
1-28.59%
0-34.31%
1-33.84%
2-31.71%
0-41.45%
1-41.29%
2-40.57%
3-40.17%
0-50.39%
1-50.34%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Estoril
Score01234
0
35.62%
22.10%
6.86%
1.42%
0.22%
1
14.67%
9.10%
2.82%
0.58%
0.09%
2
3.02%
1.87%
0.58%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.41%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-014.67%
2-03.02%
2-11.87%
3-00.41%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-035.62%
1-19.10%
2-20.58%
Estoril
0-122.10%
0-26.86%
1-22.82%
0-31.42%
1-30.58%
2-30.12%
0-40.22%
Santa Clara at Gil Vicente FC
Rio Ave at Alverca