Estrela at Boavista

Updated

Estrela

37.2%29.2%33.6%
Estrela WinDrawBoavista Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 0

Boavista

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 0-1 at Casa Pia AC+360
L 3-2 vs Benfica+1200
T 0-0 at Famalicao+385
L 1-0 vs Braga+320
L 4-2 vs Estoril+140
Boavista
Money Line
L 1-2 at Estoril+475
L 2-0 vs Famalicao+255
L 0-3 at Braga+1050
L 3-2 vs Casa Pia AC+305
L 3-1 vs Arouca+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+145-+195+179+215+179+215+201.3
Boavista+205-+155+163+145+163+163+184.0
Draw+195-+185+193+199+193+199+216.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+155----+220+220+201.3
Boavista+205----+140+140+184.0
Draw+205----+210+210+216.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Boavista: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 20.0%
Boavista: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 50.0%
Boavista: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +200 to +179
Boavista ML moved from +163 to +155

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Estrela: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Boavista: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 30.0%
Boavista: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 70.0%
Boavista: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estrela ML
Boavista ML moved from +160 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+108-o2-110o2-108o2-109o2-108o2-108o2+102
Underu2¼-128-u2-110u2-112u2-111u2-112u2-110u2-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+102
Under-----u2-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.27%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 410.67%
Exactly 61.69%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.60%
Exactly 319.54%
Exactly 54.66%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 032.39%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.58%
Exactly 37.73%
Exactly 42.18%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Boavista
Exactly 034.80%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.39%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.39%
Exactly 218.59%
Exactly 41.58%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.26%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 059.33%
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 28.08%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boavista
Exactly 061.34%
Exactly 129.98%
Exactly 27.33%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals15.16%
Wins by 3+ goals4.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Boavista
Wins by 2+ goals12.96%
Wins by 3+ goals3.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Boavista
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal21.92%
Wins by 2 goals10.46%
Wins by 3 goals3.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Boavista
Wins by 1 goal20.53%
Wins by 2 goals9.17%
Wins by 3 goals2.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.73%11.27%
1.564.13%35.87%
2.537.27%62.73%
3.517.73%82.27%
4.57.07%92.93%
5.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.61%32.39%
1.531.10%68.90%
2.510.52%89.48%
3.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Boavista Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.20%34.80%
1.528.47%71.53%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.61%36.39%
1.526.82%73.18%
2.58.23%91.77%
3.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Boavista
Score012345
0
11.27%
11.90%
6.28%
2.21%
0.58%
0.12%
1
12.71%
13.41%
7.08%
2.49%
0.66%
0.14%
2
7.16%
7.56%
3.99%
1.40%
0.37%
0.08%
3
2.69%
2.84%
1.50%
0.53%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.76%
0.80%
0.42%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.18%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Estrela
1-012.71%
2-07.16%
2-17.56%
3-02.69%
3-12.84%
3-21.50%
4-00.76%
4-10.80%
4-20.42%
4-30.15%
5-00.17%
5-10.18%
Draw
0-011.27%
1-113.41%
2-23.99%
3-30.53%
Boavista
0-111.90%
0-26.28%
1-27.08%
0-32.21%
1-32.49%
2-31.40%
0-40.58%
1-40.66%
2-40.37%
3-40.14%
0-50.12%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Boavista
Score0123
0
36.39%
17.79%
4.35%
0.71%
1
19.00%
9.29%
2.27%
0.37%
2
4.96%
2.42%
0.59%
0.10%
3
0.86%
0.42%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Estrela
1-019.00%
2-04.96%
2-12.42%
3-00.86%
3-10.42%
3-20.10%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-036.39%
1-19.29%
2-20.59%
Boavista
0-117.79%
0-24.35%
1-22.27%
0-30.71%
1-30.37%
Rio Ave at Arouca
Casa Pia AC at Moreirense