Estrela at Famalicão

Updated

Estrela

22.5%24.7%52.8%
Estrela WinDrawFamalicão Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.63
0Final Score 0

Famalicao

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Braga+320
L 4-2 vs Estoril+140
T 1-1 at AVS+255
W 0-1 vs Rio Ave+150
L 0-2 at Porto+1700
Famalicao
Money Line
L 0-4 at Benfica+1000
T 1-1 at Casa Pia AC+295
L 2-1 vs Santa Clara+230
L 2-1 vs SC Farense-105
T 3-3 at Braga+500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+340-+380+335+409+335+409+371.3
Famalicão-115--130-127-133-127-127-106.8
Draw+225-+235+245+255+240+255+268.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+360----+385+385+371.3
Famalicão-120-----120-120-106.8
Draw+250----+235+235+268.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Famalicão: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 10.0%
Famalicão: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 60.0%
Famalicão: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +424 to +410
Famalicão ML moved from -131 to -137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Famalicão: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Famalicão: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 30.0%
Famalicão: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estrela ML
Famalicão ML moved from -110 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100-o2¼-105o2¼-108o2¼-107o2¼-108o2¼-105o2¼+102
Underu2¼-120-u2¼-115u2¼-112u2¼-113u2¼-112u2¼-112u2¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+102
Under-----u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.39%
Exactly 225.07%
Exactly 414.18%
Exactly 63.21%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.25%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 57.39%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 037.80%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.89%
Exactly 35.80%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Famalicao
Exactly 019.55%
Exactly 131.91%
Exactly 226.04%
Exactly 314.17%
Exactly 45.78%
Exactly 51.89%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.93%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 063.74%
Exactly 128.71%
Exactly 26.47%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Famalicao
Exactly 046.97%
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 213.41%
Exactly 33.38%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals7.83%
Wins by 3+ goals2.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%
Famalicao
Wins by 2+ goals28.24%
Wins by 3+ goals12.04%
Wins by 4+ goals4.19%
Wins by 5+ goals1.21%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Famalicao
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal14.62%
Wins by 2 goals5.75%
Wins by 3 goals1.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%
Famalicao
Wins by 1 goal24.54%
Wins by 2 goals16.21%
Wins by 3 goals7.85%
Wins by 4 goals2.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.61%7.39%
1.573.36%26.64%
2.548.29%51.71%
3.526.51%73.49%
4.512.33%87.67%
5.54.94%95.06%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.20%37.80%
1.525.42%74.58%
2.57.54%92.46%
3.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Famalicao Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.45%19.55%
1.548.54%51.46%
2.522.50%77.50%
3.58.33%91.67%
4.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.07%29.93%
1.533.96%66.04%
2.512.19%87.81%
3.53.43%96.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Famalicao
Score012345
0
7.39%
12.06%
9.84%
5.36%
2.19%
0.71%
1
7.19%
11.73%
9.58%
5.21%
2.13%
0.69%
2
3.50%
5.71%
4.66%
2.53%
1.03%
0.34%
3
1.13%
1.85%
1.51%
0.82%
0.34%
0.11%
4
0.28%
0.45%
0.37%
0.20%
0.08%
0.03%
Estrela
1-07.19%
2-03.50%
2-15.71%
3-01.13%
3-11.85%
3-21.51%
4-00.28%
4-10.45%
4-20.37%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-07.39%
1-111.73%
2-24.66%
3-30.82%
Famalicao
0-112.06%
0-29.84%
1-29.58%
0-35.36%
1-35.21%
2-32.53%
0-42.19%
1-42.13%
2-41.03%
3-40.34%
0-50.71%
1-50.69%
2-50.34%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Famalicao
Score01234
0
29.93%
22.62%
8.55%
2.15%
0.41%
1
13.48%
10.19%
3.85%
0.97%
0.18%
2
3.04%
2.29%
0.87%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.46%
0.34%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Estrela
1-013.48%
2-03.04%
2-12.29%
3-00.46%
3-10.34%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-029.93%
1-110.19%
2-20.87%
Famalicao
0-122.62%
0-28.55%
1-23.85%
0-32.15%
1-30.97%
2-30.22%
0-40.41%
1-40.18%
Moreirense at Arouca
Rio Ave at SC Farense