Arouca at Tondela

Updated

Arouca

30.7%28.8%40.5%
Arouca WinDrawTondela Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.21
1Final Score 3

Tondela

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Gil Vicente FC+340
T 0-0 at Santa Clara+410
W 0-1 vs Alverca+215
L 1-3 at Estrela+320
L 4-0 vs Braga+575
Tondela
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Casa Pia AC+110
L 1-3 at Nacional+220
L 2-0 vs Porto+1250
W 1-0 at Gil Vicente FC+500
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+250-+205+189+190+189+205+212.6
Tondela+108-+133+142+142+142+142+161.8
Draw+235-+220+210+210+210+220+235.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+250----+215+215+212.6
Tondela+110----+135+135+161.8
Draw+245----+225+225+235.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Tondela: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +200 to +193
Tondela ML moved from +141 to +135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 20.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +225 to +215
No Steam Moves On Tondela ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102-o2¼-108o2¼-107o2¼-105o2¼-107o2¼-105o2¼+103
Underu2½-122-u2¼-112u2¼-113u2¼-115u2¼-113u2¼-112u2¼-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+103
Under-----u2¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.82%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 411.03%
Exactly 61.82%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.06%
Exactly 319.83%
Exactly 54.90%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 036.29%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.64%
Exactly 36.30%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 029.81%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 221.84%
Exactly 38.81%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.71%
Exactly 218.93%
Exactly 41.67%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 062.55%
Exactly 129.35%
Exactly 26.89%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 057.10%
Exactly 132.00%
Exactly 28.97%
Exactly 31.68%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals11.42%
Wins by 3+ goals3.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%
Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals17.57%
Wins by 3+ goals5.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Tondela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal19.21%
Wins by 2 goals8.21%
Wins by 3 goals2.52%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal22.95%
Wins by 2 goals11.71%
Wins by 3 goals4.31%
Wins by 4 goals1.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.18%10.82%
1.565.12%34.88%
2.538.37%61.63%
3.518.54%81.46%
4.57.51%92.49%
5.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.71%36.29%
1.526.92%73.08%
2.58.28%91.72%
3.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.19%29.81%
1.534.12%65.88%
2.512.28%87.72%
3.53.47%96.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.29%35.71%
1.527.52%72.48%
2.58.58%91.42%
3.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Tondela
Score012345
0
10.82%
13.09%
7.93%
3.20%
0.97%
0.23%
1
10.96%
13.27%
8.03%
3.24%
0.98%
0.24%
2
5.56%
6.73%
4.07%
1.64%
0.50%
0.12%
3
1.88%
2.27%
1.38%
0.55%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.48%
0.58%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Arouca
1-010.96%
2-05.56%
2-16.73%
3-01.88%
3-12.27%
3-21.38%
4-00.48%
4-10.58%
4-20.35%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.82%
1-113.27%
2-24.07%
3-30.55%
Tondela
0-113.09%
0-27.93%
1-28.03%
0-33.20%
1-33.24%
2-31.64%
0-40.97%
1-40.98%
2-40.50%
3-40.17%
0-50.23%
1-50.24%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Tondela
Score01234
0
35.71%
20.01%
5.61%
1.05%
0.15%
1
16.76%
9.39%
2.63%
0.49%
0.07%
2
3.93%
2.20%
0.62%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.62%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-016.76%
2-03.93%
2-12.20%
3-00.62%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-035.71%
1-19.39%
2-20.62%
Tondela
0-120.01%
0-25.61%
1-22.63%
0-31.05%
1-30.49%
2-30.12%
0-40.15%
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