Estoril at Benfica

Updated

Estoril

4.8%11.1%84.1%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.85
1Final Score 3

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Alverca+120
W 0-1 vs Braga+430
L 0-4 at Famalicao+390
T 3-3 vs Moreirense+125
L 0-1 at Porto+1500
Benfica
Money Line
T 2-2 at Braga+115
W 0-1 vs Famalicao-300
W 4-0 at Moreirense-275
T 1-1 vs Sporting CP+190
W 2-1 at Nacional-240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+1000-+1000+1000+1000+1000+1000+1089.4
Benfica-475--485-476-476-476-476-324.3
Draw+575-+575+510+510+510+575+559.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+1100----+1175+1175+1089.4
Benfica-485-----500-500-324.3
Draw+615----+625+625+559.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +1000 to +900
Benfica ML moved from -455 to -476

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 30.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +1250 to +1175
Benfica ML moved from -490 to -525

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+105-o3¼-105o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼+107
Underu3¼-125-u3¼-115u3¼-118u3¼-118u3¼-118u3¼-115u3¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+107
Under-----u3¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-108 to o3¼+102
The Under moved from u3¼-125 to u3-112

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.4%
 
No59.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.30%
Exactly 219.20%
Exactly 418.62%
Exactly 67.23%
Exactly 81.50%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.25%
Exactly 321.83%
Exactly 512.71%
Exactly 73.52%
Exactly 90.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 057.10%
Exactly 132.00%
Exactly 28.96%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 05.78%
Exactly 116.47%
Exactly 223.48%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 415.91%
Exactly 59.07%
Exactly 64.31%
Exactly 71.76%
Exactly 80.63%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.60%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 45.35%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.55%
Exactly 313.54%
Exactly 51.69%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 077.15%
Exactly 120.01%
Exactly 22.60%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 026.71%
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 223.28%
Exactly 310.24%
Exactly 43.38%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals1.00%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals64.84%
Wins by 3+ goals42.70%
Wins by 4+ goals23.98%
Wins by 5+ goals11.57%
Wins by 6+ goals4.84%
Wins by 7+ goals1.76%
Wins by 8+ goals0.53%
Wins by 9+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal3.77%
Wins by 2 goals0.85%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal19.21%
Wins by 2 goals22.14%
Wins by 3 goals18.73%
Wins by 4 goals12.41%
Wins by 5 goals6.73%
Wins by 6 goals3.08%
Wins by 7 goals1.22%
Wins by 8 goals0.42%
Wins by 9 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.70%3.30%
1.585.45%14.55%
2.566.26%33.74%
3.544.42%55.58%
4.525.80%74.20%
5.513.10%86.90%
6.55.87%94.13%
7.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.90%57.10%
1.510.90%89.10%
2.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.22%5.78%
1.577.76%22.24%
2.554.28%45.72%
3.531.96%68.04%
4.516.04%83.96%
5.56.97%93.03%
6.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.40%20.60%
1.546.85%53.15%
2.521.14%78.86%
3.57.60%92.40%
4.52.26%97.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Benfica
Score012345
0
3.30%
9.40%
13.41%
12.74%
9.09%
5.18%
1
1.85%
5.27%
7.51%
7.14%
5.09%
2.90%
2
0.52%
1.48%
2.10%
2.00%
1.43%
0.81%
Estoril
1-01.85%
2-00.52%
2-11.48%
Draw
0-03.30%
1-15.27%
2-22.10%
3-30.37%
Benfica
0-19.40%
0-213.41%
1-27.51%
0-312.74%
1-37.14%
2-32.00%
0-49.09%
1-45.09%
2-41.43%
3-40.27%
0-55.18%
1-52.90%
2-50.81%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Benfica
Score0123456
0
20.60%
27.20%
17.96%
7.90%
2.61%
0.69%
0.15%
1
5.35%
7.06%
4.66%
2.05%
0.68%
0.18%
0.04%
2
0.69%
0.92%
0.60%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
Estoril
1-05.35%
2-00.69%
2-10.92%
Draw
0-020.60%
1-17.06%
2-20.60%
Benfica
0-127.20%
0-217.96%
1-24.66%
0-37.90%
1-32.05%
2-30.27%
0-42.61%
1-40.68%
0-50.69%
1-50.18%
0-60.15%
Arouca at Tondela
Braga at Estrela