Arouca at Sporting CP

Updated

Arouca

5.2%12.3%82.5%
WinDrawSporting CP Win
0.53Projected Goals 2.65
0Final Score 6

Sporting CP

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 1-3 vs AVS-140
W 1-4 vs Boavista-105
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+235
T 0-0 vs Casa Pia AC+105
L 0-2 at Santa Clara+395
Sporting CP
Money Line
W 2-0 at Casa Pia AC-300
W 0-2 vs Vitoria-360
T 1-1 at Benfica+240
W 1-2 vs Gil Vicente FC-750
W 5-0 at Boavista-700

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1100+1385+1200+880+1208+880+1385+959.6
Sporting CP-510-512-600-526-604-526-512-348.8
Draw+575+635+625+620+611+620+635+678.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1050----+1325+1325+959.6
Sporting CP-440-----560-560-348.8
Draw+560----+645+645+678.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 40.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +900 to +880
Sporting CP ML moved from -585 to -600

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 40.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1050 to +850
Sporting CP ML moved from -535 to -560

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3½+117o3¼-115o3¼-120o3¼-119o3¼-120o3¼-115o3¼-109
Underu3-105u3½-137u3¼-105u3¼+100u3¼-105u3¼+100u3¼+100u3¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-109
Under-----u3¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-105 to o3¼-102
The Under moved from u3¼-118 to u3-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.1%
 
No61.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.15%
Exactly 221.02%
Exactly 417.72%
Exactly 65.98%
Exactly 81.08%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.21%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 511.28%
Exactly 72.72%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 059.04%
Exactly 131.11%
Exactly 28.20%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 07.04%
Exactly 118.67%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 414.55%
Exactly 57.72%
Exactly 63.42%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 80.43%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.93%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 44.50%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.77%
Exactly 312.21%
Exactly 51.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 078.35%
Exactly 119.12%
Exactly 22.33%
Exactly 30.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 029.26%
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 222.10%
Exactly 39.05%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.04%
Wins by 3+ goals0.15%
Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals61.68%
Wins by 3+ goals38.92%
Wins by 4+ goals20.76%
Wins by 5+ goals9.47%
Wins by 6+ goals3.73%
Wins by 7+ goals1.28%
Wins by 8+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Sporting CP
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal4.12%
Wins by 2 goals0.89%
Wins by 3 goals0.14%
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal20.76%
Wins by 2 goals22.76%
Wins by 3 goals18.16%
Wins by 4 goals11.29%
Wins by 5 goals5.73%
Wins by 6 goals2.46%
Wins by 7 goals0.91%
Wins by 8 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.85%4.15%
1.582.63%17.37%
2.561.62%38.38%
3.539.33%60.67%
4.521.60%78.40%
5.510.33%89.67%
6.54.35%95.65%
7.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.96%59.04%
1.59.85%90.15%
2.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.96%7.04%
1.574.29%25.71%
2.549.51%50.49%
3.527.58%72.42%
4.513.04%86.96%
5.55.31%94.69%
6.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.07%22.93%
1.543.31%56.69%
2.518.44%81.56%
3.56.23%93.77%
4.51.73%98.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
4.15%
11.02%
14.63%
12.94%
8.59%
4.56%
1
2.19%
5.81%
7.71%
6.82%
4.53%
2.40%
2
0.58%
1.53%
2.03%
1.80%
1.19%
0.63%
3
0.10%
0.27%
0.36%
0.32%
0.21%
0.11%
Arouca
1-02.19%
2-00.58%
2-11.53%
3-00.10%
3-10.27%
3-20.36%
Draw
0-04.15%
1-15.81%
2-22.03%
3-30.32%
Sporting CP
0-111.02%
0-214.63%
1-27.71%
0-312.94%
1-36.82%
2-31.80%
0-48.59%
1-44.53%
2-41.19%
3-40.21%
0-54.56%
1-52.40%
2-50.63%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Sporting CP
Score0123456
0
22.93%
28.17%
17.31%
7.09%
2.18%
0.54%
0.11%
1
5.59%
6.87%
4.22%
1.73%
0.53%
0.13%
0.03%
2
0.68%
0.84%
0.52%
0.21%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-05.59%
2-00.68%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-022.93%
1-16.87%
2-20.52%
Sporting CP
0-128.17%
0-217.31%
1-24.22%
0-37.09%
1-31.73%
2-30.21%
0-42.18%
1-40.53%
0-50.54%
1-50.13%
0-60.11%
Moreirense at Santa Clara
Porto at Gil Vicente FC