Casa Pia AC at Arouca

Updated

Casa Pia AC

32.0%29.9%38.1%
Casa Pia AC WinDrawArouca Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.11
0Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Casa Pia AC
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Estoril+150
T 1-1 at AVS+150
L 1-0 vs Porto+450
T 0-0 at SC Farense+215
W 1-2 vs Rio Ave+100
Arouca
Money Line
L 0-2 at Santa Clara+395
W 0-1 vs Estrela+110
T 2-2 at Benfica+1900
L 2-1 vs Famalicao+180
L 1-2 at Braga+440

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+265+277+265+225+225+225+277+251.1
Arouca+105+106+105+113+113+113+113+130.1
Draw+220+246+220+230+230+230+246+256.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+285----+285+285+251.1
Arouca+105----+105+105+130.1
Draw+230----+230+230+256.5

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Casa Pia AC: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 30.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 40.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +235 to +225
Arouca ML moved from +111 to +102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 30.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 40.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Casa Pia AC ML
No Steam Moves On Arouca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½+108o2½+110o2¼-119o2¼-119o2¼-119o2¼-119o2¼-108
Underu2¼+102u2½-127u2½-130u2¼-101u2¼-101u2¼-101u2½-127u2¼+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-108
Under-----u2¼+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.1%
 
No57.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.27%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 49.91%
Exactly 61.45%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.74%
Exactly 318.89%
Exactly 54.16%
Exactly 70.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 037.14%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.22%
Exactly 36.02%
Exactly 41.49%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 033.03%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 42.07%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.85%
Exactly 217.86%
Exactly 41.40%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 063.21%
Exactly 128.99%
Exactly 26.65%
Exactly 31.02%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 059.88%
Exactly 130.71%
Exactly 27.87%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals11.83%
Wins by 3+ goals3.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals15.42%
Wins by 3+ goals4.73%
Wins by 4+ goals1.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal20.15%
Wins by 2 goals8.54%
Wins by 3 goals2.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal22.54%
Wins by 2 goals10.68%
Wins by 3 goals3.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.73%12.27%
1.561.99%38.01%
2.534.99%65.01%
3.516.10%83.90%
4.56.20%93.80%
5.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.86%37.14%
1.526.08%73.92%
2.57.86%92.14%
3.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.97%33.03%
1.530.38%69.62%
2.510.11%89.89%
3.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.15%37.85%
1.525.38%74.62%
2.57.51%92.49%
3.51.73%98.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
Score012345
0
12.27%
13.59%
7.53%
2.78%
0.77%
0.17%
1
12.15%
13.46%
7.45%
2.75%
0.76%
0.17%
2
6.02%
6.67%
3.69%
1.36%
0.38%
0.08%
3
1.99%
2.20%
1.22%
0.45%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.49%
0.55%
0.30%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Casa Pia AC
1-012.15%
2-06.02%
2-16.67%
3-01.99%
3-12.20%
3-21.22%
4-00.49%
4-10.55%
4-20.30%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-012.27%
1-113.46%
2-23.69%
3-30.45%
Arouca
0-113.59%
0-27.53%
1-27.45%
0-32.78%
1-32.75%
2-31.36%
0-40.77%
1-40.76%
2-40.38%
3-40.12%
0-50.17%
1-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
Score01234
0
37.85%
19.41%
4.98%
0.85%
0.11%
1
17.36%
8.90%
2.28%
0.39%
0.05%
2
3.98%
2.04%
0.52%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.61%
0.31%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Casa Pia AC
1-017.36%
2-03.98%
2-12.04%
3-00.61%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-037.85%
1-18.90%
2-20.52%
Arouca
0-119.41%
0-24.98%
1-22.28%
0-30.85%
1-30.39%
0-40.11%
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