Porto at Estrela

Updated

Porto

71.7%17.6%10.7%
Porto WinDrawWin
2.25Projected Goals 0.74
2Final Score 1

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Tondela-650
W 3-1 at Estoril-280
T 2-2 vs Famalicao-245
W 2-1 at Braga+135
W 0-3 vs Moreirense-500
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-1 at Arouca+280
L 1-0 vs Sporting CP+1025
L 0-2 at Nacional+325
W 0-4 vs Casa Pia AC+150
L 1-2 at Rio Ave+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-305--340-333-333-333-333-263.1
Estrela+750-+975+900+900+900+975+961.4
Draw+420-+410+420+420+420+420+451.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-300-----335-335-263.1
Estrela+785----+975+975+961.4
Draw+430----+435+435+451.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Estrela: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Estrela: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -355 to -365
Estrela ML moved from +950 to +900

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Estrela: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Estrela: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -300 to -345
No Steam Moves On Estrela ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108-o2½-120o2¾+110o2¾+110o2¾+110o2½-120o2¾+119
Underu2¾-112-u2½+100u2¾-130u2¾-130u2¾-130u2¾-130u2¾-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+119
Under-----u2¾-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-115 to u2½-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.01%
Exactly 222.45%
Exactly 416.77%
Exactly 65.01%
Exactly 80.80%
 
Exactly 115.00%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.04%
Exactly 72.14%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 010.49%
Exactly 123.66%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 320.04%
Exactly 411.29%
Exactly 55.09%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 70.62%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 047.75%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 213.05%
Exactly 33.21%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.01%
Exactly 224.02%
Exactly 43.85%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.66%
Exactly 311.10%
Exactly 51.07%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 035.21%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.18%
Exactly 36.67%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 071.02%
Exactly 124.31%
Exactly 24.16%
Exactly 30.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals47.99%
Wins by 3+ goals26.53%
Wins by 4+ goals12.25%
Wins by 5+ goals4.79%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals2.83%
Wins by 3+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Estrela
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Porto
Wins by 1 goal23.72%
Wins by 2 goals21.45%
Wins by 3 goals14.28%
Wins by 4 goals7.46%
Wins by 5 goals3.19%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal7.77%
Wins by 2 goals2.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.99%5.01%
1.579.99%20.01%
2.557.54%42.46%
3.535.14%64.86%
4.518.37%81.63%
5.58.33%91.67%
6.53.32%96.68%
7.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.51%10.49%
1.565.85%34.15%
2.539.19%60.81%
3.519.15%80.85%
4.57.85%92.15%
5.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.25%47.75%
1.516.95%83.05%
2.53.91%96.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.99%25.01%
1.540.34%59.66%
2.516.31%83.69%
3.55.22%94.78%
4.51.37%98.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Estrela
Score0123
0
5.01%
3.70%
1.37%
0.34%
1
11.30%
8.35%
3.09%
0.76%
2
12.73%
9.41%
3.48%
0.86%
3
9.57%
7.07%
2.61%
0.64%
4
5.39%
3.99%
1.47%
0.36%
5
2.43%
1.80%
0.66%
0.16%
Porto
1-011.30%
2-012.73%
2-19.41%
3-09.57%
3-17.07%
3-22.61%
4-05.39%
4-13.99%
4-21.47%
4-30.36%
5-02.43%
5-11.80%
5-20.66%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.01%
1-18.35%
2-23.48%
3-30.64%
Estrela
0-13.70%
0-21.37%
1-23.09%
0-30.34%
1-30.76%
2-30.86%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Estrela
Score0123
0
25.01%
8.56%
1.46%
0.17%
1
26.10%
8.93%
1.53%
0.17%
2
13.62%
4.66%
0.80%
0.09%
3
4.74%
1.62%
0.28%
0.03%
4
1.24%
0.42%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Porto
1-026.10%
2-013.62%
2-14.66%
3-04.74%
3-11.62%
3-20.28%
4-01.24%
4-10.42%
5-00.26%
Draw
0-025.01%
1-18.93%
2-20.80%
Estrela
0-18.56%
0-21.46%
1-21.53%
0-30.17%
1-30.17%