Porto at Arouca

Updated

Porto

63.6%21.4%15.0%
Porto WinDrawWin
1.92Projected Goals 0.80
1Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Boavista-600
W 2-0 at Pacos-360
W 1-2 vs Santa Clara-700
W 2-1 at Benfica+330
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-750
Arouca
Money Line
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+225
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+170
T 1-1 at Sporting CP+1100
W 0-1 vs Maritimo+120
W 1-0 at Famalicao+315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-235-256-275-275-265-275-256-231.1
Arouca+688+772+700+800+838+800+838+845.6
Draw+373+386+370+385+403+385+403+409.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-265-----290-290-231.1
Arouca+700----+800+800+845.6
Draw+400----+410+410+409.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Arouca: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -290 to -300
Arouca ML moved from +725 to +700

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -275 to -290
Arouca ML moved from +750 to +720

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-142o2½-126o2¾-105o2¾-103-o2¾-103o2½-126o2¾+106
Underu2½+120u2½+106u2¾-115u2¾-117-u2¾-117u2¾-115u2¾-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+106
Under-----u2¾-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.59%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 415.02%
Exactly 63.70%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.93%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 58.17%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 014.73%
Exactly 128.21%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.25%
Exactly 48.26%
Exactly 53.16%
Exactly 61.01%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 044.76%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 214.46%
Exactly 33.88%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.40%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 39.44%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 041.20%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.20%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 068.92%
Exactly 125.65%
Exactly 24.77%
Exactly 30.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals38.30%
Wins by 3+ goals18.67%
Wins by 4+ goals7.48%
Wins by 5+ goals2.49%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals4.45%
Wins by 3+ goals0.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Porto
Wins by 1 goal25.19%
Wins by 2 goals19.62%
Wins by 3 goals11.19%
Wins by 4 goals4.99%
Wins by 5 goals1.82%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal10.57%
Wins by 2 goals3.46%
Wins by 3 goals0.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.41%6.59%
1.575.48%24.52%
2.551.10%48.90%
3.529.01%70.99%
4.513.99%86.01%
5.55.83%94.17%
6.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.27%14.73%
1.557.05%42.95%
2.530.04%69.96%
3.512.79%87.21%
4.54.53%95.47%
5.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.24%44.76%
1.519.26%80.74%
2.54.80%95.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.60%28.40%
1.535.85%64.15%
2.513.35%86.65%
3.53.91%96.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Arouca
Score01234
0
6.59%
5.30%
2.13%
0.57%
0.11%
1
12.63%
10.15%
4.08%
1.09%
0.22%
2
12.09%
9.72%
3.91%
1.05%
0.21%
3
7.72%
6.21%
2.49%
0.67%
0.13%
4
3.70%
2.97%
1.19%
0.32%
0.06%
5
1.42%
1.14%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
Porto
1-012.63%
2-012.09%
2-19.72%
3-07.72%
3-16.21%
3-22.49%
4-03.70%
4-12.97%
4-21.19%
4-30.32%
5-01.42%
5-11.14%
5-20.46%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.59%
1-110.15%
2-23.91%
3-30.67%
Arouca
0-15.30%
0-22.13%
1-24.08%
0-30.57%
1-31.09%
2-31.05%
0-40.11%
1-40.22%
2-40.21%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Arouca
Score0123
0
28.40%
10.57%
1.97%
0.24%
1
25.18%
9.37%
1.74%
0.22%
2
11.16%
4.15%
0.77%
0.10%
3
3.30%
1.23%
0.23%
0.03%
4
0.73%
0.27%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Porto
1-025.18%
2-011.16%
2-14.15%
3-03.30%
3-11.23%
3-20.23%
4-00.73%
4-10.27%
5-00.13%
Draw
0-028.40%
1-19.37%
2-20.77%
Arouca
0-110.57%
0-21.97%
1-21.74%
0-30.24%
1-30.22%