Arouca at Sporting CP

Updated

Arouca

5.8%13.0%81.2%
WinDrawSporting CP Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.62
1Final Score 1

Sporting CP

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Maritimo+120
W 1-0 at Famalicao+315
T 1-1 vs Pacos+120
W 2-0 at Vitoria+310
W 0-2 vs Casa Pia AC+145
Sporting CP
Money Line
W 4-3 at Casa Pia AC-260
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC-255
W 0-3 vs Santa Clara-1000
W 0-3 vs Boavista-370
W 1-0 at Portimonense-315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1298+1183+1100+1200+1122+1200+1200+1263.6
Sporting CP-435-416-435-450-435-450-416-354.5
Draw+544+542+500+550+609+550+609+581.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1425----+1100+1100+1263.6
Sporting CP-525-----425-425-354.5
Draw+600----+540+540+581.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 10.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1154 to +1122
Sporting CP ML moved from -428 to -435

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1200 to +1000
Sporting CP ML moved from -400 to -470

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-101o3-105o3-105o3-107o3+104o3-107o3+104o3+103
Underu3-117u3-113u3-115u3-113u3-119u3-113u3-113u3-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+103
Under-----u3-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-112 to o3¼+100
The Under moved from u3¼-120 to u3-113

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.9%
 
No60.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.16%
Exactly 221.03%
Exactly 417.72%
Exactly 65.97%
Exactly 81.08%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.23%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 511.27%
Exactly 72.71%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 056.93%
Exactly 132.07%
Exactly 29.03%
Exactly 31.70%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 07.31%
Exactly 119.12%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 414.27%
Exactly 57.46%
Exactly 63.26%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 80.40%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.94%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 44.49%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 312.20%
Exactly 51.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 077.04%
Exactly 120.09%
Exactly 22.62%
Exactly 30.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 029.78%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%
Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals60.07%
Wins by 3+ goals37.41%
Wins by 4+ goals19.68%
Wins by 5+ goals8.85%
Wins by 6+ goals3.44%
Wins by 7+ goals1.16%
Wins by 8+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Sporting CP
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal4.55%
Wins by 2 goals1.04%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal21.13%
Wins by 2 goals22.66%
Wins by 3 goals17.73%
Wins by 4 goals10.83%
Wins by 5 goals5.41%
Wins by 6 goals2.28%
Wins by 7 goals0.83%
Wins by 8 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.84%4.16%
1.582.61%17.39%
2.561.58%38.42%
3.539.29%60.71%
4.521.58%78.42%
5.510.31%89.69%
6.54.34%95.66%
7.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.07%56.93%
1.511.00%89.00%
2.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.69%7.31%
1.573.58%26.42%
2.548.57%51.43%
3.526.76%73.24%
4.512.49%87.51%
5.55.02%94.98%
6.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.06%22.94%
1.543.28%56.72%
2.518.42%81.58%
3.56.22%93.78%
4.51.73%98.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
4.16%
10.88%
14.24%
12.42%
8.12%
4.25%
1
2.34%
6.13%
8.02%
6.99%
4.58%
2.39%
2
0.66%
1.73%
2.26%
1.97%
1.29%
0.67%
3
0.12%
0.32%
0.42%
0.37%
0.24%
0.13%
Arouca
1-02.34%
2-00.66%
2-11.73%
3-00.12%
3-10.32%
3-20.42%
Draw
0-04.16%
1-16.13%
2-22.26%
3-30.37%
Sporting CP
0-110.88%
0-214.24%
1-28.02%
0-312.42%
1-36.99%
2-31.97%
0-48.12%
1-44.58%
2-41.29%
3-40.24%
0-54.25%
1-52.39%
2-50.67%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Sporting CP
Score0123456
0
22.94%
27.79%
16.83%
6.80%
2.06%
0.50%
0.10%
1
5.98%
7.25%
4.39%
1.77%
0.54%
0.13%
0.03%
2
0.78%
0.95%
0.57%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-05.98%
2-00.78%
2-10.95%
Draw
0-022.94%
1-17.25%
2-20.57%
Sporting CP
0-127.79%
0-216.83%
1-24.39%
0-36.80%
1-31.77%
2-30.23%
0-42.06%
1-40.54%
0-50.50%
1-50.13%
0-60.10%
Gil Vicente FC at Braga
Boavista at FC Vizela