Arouca at Vitória

Updated

Arouca

16.1%22.9%61.0%
WinDrawVitória Win
0.78Projected Goals 1.77
1Final Score 1

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Rio Ave+125
L 0-6 at Sporting CP+1325
W 1-3 vs AVS-140
W 1-4 vs Boavista-105
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+235
Vitoria
Money Line
L 0-2 at Moreirense+150
W 2-3 vs Estoril-130
L 0-3 at Porto+610
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+960
L 2-1 vs SC Farense-200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+360+257+240+205+250+205+257+229.7
Vitória-132+114+113+120+109+120+120+137.8
Draw+260+242+230+235+238+235+242+262.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+370----+385+385+229.7
Vitória-130-----135-135+137.8
Draw+265----+270+270+262.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Vitória: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 40.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +250 to +240
Vitória ML moved from +121 to +112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Vitória: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 90.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +370 to +360
Vitória ML moved from -125 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+107o2½+105o2½+100o2½+102o2½+100o2½+107o2½+109
Underu2½-120u2½-125u2½-125u2½-120u2½-124u2½-120u2½-120u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.79%
Exactly 225.37%
Exactly 413.78%
Exactly 62.99%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.88%
Exactly 321.59%
Exactly 57.03%
Exactly 71.09%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 045.83%
Exactly 135.76%
Exactly 213.95%
Exactly 33.63%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 016.99%
Exactly 130.12%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 315.77%
Exactly 46.99%
Exactly 52.48%
Exactly 60.73%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.67%
Exactly 221.42%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 38.44%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 069.68%
Exactly 125.17%
Exactly 24.55%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 044.01%
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 214.82%
Exactly 34.05%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals4.70%
Wins by 3+ goals1.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals35.15%
Wins by 3+ goals16.21%
Wins by 4+ goals6.11%
Wins by 5+ goals1.91%
Wins by 6+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Vitoria
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal11.36%
Wins by 2 goals3.67%
Wins by 3 goals0.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal25.82%
Wins by 2 goals18.94%
Wins by 3 goals10.10%
Wins by 4 goals4.20%
Wins by 5 goals1.42%
Wins by 6 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.21%7.79%
1.572.34%27.66%
2.546.97%53.03%
3.525.38%74.62%
4.511.60%88.40%
5.54.56%95.44%
6.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.17%45.83%
1.518.41%81.59%
2.54.46%95.54%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.01%16.99%
1.552.89%47.11%
2.526.20%73.80%
3.510.43%89.57%
4.53.45%96.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.33%30.67%
1.533.08%66.92%
2.511.66%88.34%
3.53.22%96.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Vitoria
Score012345
0
7.79%
13.80%
12.23%
7.23%
3.20%
1.14%
1
6.08%
10.77%
9.54%
5.64%
2.50%
0.89%
2
2.37%
4.20%
3.72%
2.20%
0.97%
0.35%
3
0.62%
1.09%
0.97%
0.57%
0.25%
0.09%
4
0.12%
0.21%
0.19%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
Arouca
1-06.08%
2-02.37%
2-14.20%
3-00.62%
3-11.09%
3-20.97%
4-00.12%
4-10.21%
4-20.19%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-07.79%
1-110.77%
2-23.72%
3-30.57%
Vitoria
0-113.80%
0-212.23%
1-29.54%
0-37.23%
1-35.64%
2-32.20%
0-43.20%
1-42.50%
2-40.97%
3-40.25%
0-51.14%
1-50.89%
2-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Vitoria
Score01234
0
30.67%
25.17%
10.33%
2.83%
0.58%
1
11.08%
9.09%
3.73%
1.02%
0.21%
2
2.00%
1.64%
0.67%
0.18%
0.04%
3
0.24%
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-011.08%
2-02.00%
2-11.64%
3-00.24%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-030.67%
1-19.09%
2-20.67%
Vitoria
0-125.17%
0-210.33%
1-23.73%
0-32.83%
1-31.02%
2-30.18%
0-40.58%
1-40.21%
Famalicão at AVS Futebol
Porto at Sporting CP