Arouca at Porto

Updated

Arouca

5.3%12.6%82.1%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.52Projected Goals 2.63
1Final Score 3

Porto

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Nacional+135
L 2-3 at Casa Pia AC+150
W 2-3 vs Vitoria+185
W 3-0 at Rio Ave+135
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+850
Porto
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Rio Ave-950
W 1-0 at Nacional-265
T 1-1 vs Sporting CP+150
L 1-2 at Casa Pia AC-410
W 0-3 vs Gil Vicente FC-265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1400-+1300+1400+1400+1400+1400+1460.5
Porto-625--525-455-455-455-455-371.8
Draw+625-+550+550+550+550+550+576.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1525----+1250+1250+1460.5
Porto-625-----450-450-371.8
Draw+675----+525+525+576.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Porto: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1300 to +1200
Porto ML moved from -455 to -476

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Porto: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1400 to +1250
Porto ML moved from -620 to -670

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105-o2¾-102o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+109
Underu3-115-u2¾-118u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-118u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.0%
 
No62.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.26%
Exactly 221.22%
Exactly 417.60%
Exactly 65.84%
Exactly 81.04%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.45%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 511.11%
Exactly 72.63%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 059.05%
Exactly 131.11%
Exactly 28.19%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 07.22%
Exactly 118.98%
Exactly 224.94%
Exactly 321.85%
Exactly 414.35%
Exactly 57.54%
Exactly 63.30%
Exactly 71.24%
Exactly 80.41%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.21%
Exactly 224.76%
Exactly 44.40%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.90%
Exactly 312.05%
Exactly 51.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 078.36%
Exactly 119.11%
Exactly 22.33%
Exactly 30.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 029.62%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 221.93%
Exactly 38.89%
Exactly 42.71%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.07%
Wins by 3+ goals0.15%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals61.14%
Wins by 3+ goals38.33%
Wins by 4+ goals20.29%
Wins by 5+ goals9.18%
Wins by 6+ goals3.59%
Wins by 7+ goals1.22%
Wins by 8+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Porto
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal4.20%
Wins by 2 goals0.91%
Wins by 3 goals0.14%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal20.98%
Wins by 2 goals22.81%
Wins by 3 goals18.03%
Wins by 4 goals11.11%
Wins by 5 goals5.59%
Wins by 6 goals2.37%
Wins by 7 goals0.87%
Wins by 8 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.74%4.26%
1.582.28%17.72%
2.561.06%38.94%
3.538.74%61.26%
4.521.14%78.86%
5.510.03%89.97%
6.54.19%95.81%
7.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.95%59.05%
1.59.84%90.16%
2.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.78%7.22%
1.573.80%26.20%
2.548.86%51.14%
3.527.01%72.99%
4.512.66%87.34%
5.55.11%94.89%
6.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.79%23.21%
1.542.89%57.11%
2.518.14%81.86%
3.56.08%93.92%
4.51.68%98.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Porto
Score012345
0
4.26%
11.21%
14.73%
12.90%
8.48%
4.46%
1
2.25%
5.90%
7.76%
6.80%
4.47%
2.35%
2
0.59%
1.56%
2.04%
1.79%
1.18%
0.62%
3
0.10%
0.27%
0.36%
0.31%
0.21%
0.11%
Arouca
1-02.25%
2-00.59%
2-11.56%
3-00.10%
3-10.27%
3-20.36%
Draw
0-04.26%
1-15.90%
2-22.04%
3-30.31%
Porto
0-111.21%
0-214.73%
1-27.76%
0-312.90%
1-36.80%
2-31.79%
0-48.48%
1-44.47%
2-41.18%
3-40.21%
0-54.46%
1-52.35%
2-50.62%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Porto
Score0123456
0
23.21%
28.24%
17.18%
6.97%
2.12%
0.52%
0.10%
1
5.66%
6.89%
4.19%
1.70%
0.52%
0.13%
0.03%
2
0.69%
0.84%
0.51%
0.21%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-05.66%
2-00.69%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-023.21%
1-16.89%
2-20.51%
Porto
0-128.24%
0-217.18%
1-24.19%
0-36.97%
1-31.70%
2-30.21%
0-42.12%
1-40.52%
0-50.52%
1-50.13%
0-60.10%
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