Arouca at Casa Pia AC

Updated

Arouca

39.5%29.6%30.9%
Arouca WinDrawCasa Pia AC Win
1.14Projected Goals 0.98
2Final Score 3

Casa Pia AC

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Vitoria+185
W 3-0 at Rio Ave+135
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+850
W 1-0 at AVS+180
L 1-3 at Tondela+215
Casa Pia AC
Money Line
T 0-0 at Nacional+370
W 1-2 vs Porto+1150
T 3-3 vs AVS+110
L 0-3 at Sporting CP+1500
L 1-3 at Rio Ave+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+170-+145+160+152+152+152+161.6
Casa Pia AC+176-+200+208+208+208+208+219.7
Draw+200-+212+208+216+216+216+228.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+175----+150+150+161.6
Casa Pia AC+175----+200+200+219.7
Draw+210----+215+215+228.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +160 to +152
Casa Pia AC ML moved from +200 to +190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 10.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +165 to +155
No Steam Moves On Casa Pia AC ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102-o2¼-108o2¼-106o2¼-106o2¼-106o2¼-106o2¼+104
Underu2¼-118-u2¼-112u2¼-114u2¼-114u2¼-114u2¼-112u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.6%
 
No57.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.95%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 410.14%
Exactly 61.53%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.38%
Exactly 319.10%
Exactly 54.31%
Exactly 70.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 031.77%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.89%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.52%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 037.61%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.99%
Exactly 35.86%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.39%
Exactly 218.09%
Exactly 41.46%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.93%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 058.81%
Exactly 131.22%
Exactly 28.29%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 063.58%
Exactly 128.79%
Exactly 26.52%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals16.52%
Wins by 3+ goals5.29%
Wins by 4+ goals1.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals11.26%
Wins by 3+ goals3.09%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Casa Pia AC
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal22.96%
Wins by 2 goals11.23%
Wins by 3 goals3.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal19.58%
Wins by 2 goals8.17%
Wins by 3 goals2.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.05%11.95%
1.562.67%37.33%
2.535.70%64.30%
3.516.61%83.39%
4.56.46%93.54%
5.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.23%31.77%
1.531.80%68.20%
2.510.92%89.08%
3.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.39%37.61%
1.525.62%74.38%
2.57.63%92.37%
3.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.61%37.39%
1.525.83%74.17%
2.57.73%92.27%
3.51.80%98.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Casa Pia AC
Score01234
0
11.95%
11.68%
5.71%
1.86%
0.46%
1
13.70%
13.40%
6.55%
2.14%
0.52%
2
7.85%
7.68%
3.76%
1.22%
0.30%
3
3.00%
2.94%
1.44%
0.47%
0.11%
4
0.86%
0.84%
0.41%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.20%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Arouca
1-013.70%
2-07.85%
2-17.68%
3-03.00%
3-12.94%
3-21.44%
4-00.86%
4-10.84%
4-20.41%
4-30.13%
5-00.20%
5-10.19%
Draw
0-011.95%
1-113.40%
2-23.76%
3-30.47%
Casa Pia AC
0-111.68%
0-25.71%
1-26.55%
0-31.86%
1-32.14%
2-31.22%
0-40.46%
1-40.52%
2-40.30%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Casa Pia AC
Score0123
0
37.39%
16.93%
3.83%
0.58%
1
19.85%
8.99%
2.04%
0.31%
2
5.27%
2.39%
0.54%
0.08%
3
0.93%
0.42%
0.10%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Arouca
1-019.85%
2-05.27%
2-12.39%
3-00.93%
3-10.42%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-037.39%
1-18.99%
2-20.54%
Casa Pia AC
0-116.93%
0-23.83%
1-22.04%
0-30.58%
1-30.31%
Alverca at Tondela
Estrela at Vitória