Alverca at Estrela

Updated

Alverca

44.6%27.7%27.7%
Alverca WinDrawEstrela Win
1.33Projected Goals 0.98
2Final Score 2

Estrela

Last Games

Alverca
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Braga+455
L 1-2 at Moreirense+335
Estrela
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Benfica+1100
T 1-1 at Estoril+410
L 0-4 at Estoril+160
L 1-0 vs AVS+130
W 0-2 vs Porto+510

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alverca+275-+210+184+211+184+219+206.6
Estrela+107-+146+156+146+156+156+176.3
Draw+220-+200+197+202+197+202+220.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alverca+285----+210+210+206.6
Estrela+105----+150+150+176.3
Draw+230----+205+205+220.6

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Alverca: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alverca: 40.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Alverca: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alverca: 50.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alverca ML moved from +190 to +184
Estrela ML moved from +156 to +140

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Alverca: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alverca: 40.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Alverca: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alverca: 20.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alverca ML moved from +220 to +210
Estrela ML moved from +100 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102-o2-128o2-124o2¼+105o2-124o2-124o2-113
Underu2¼-122-u2+108u2+104u2¼-127u2+104u2¼-127u2+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-113
Under-----u2+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.90%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 411.80%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.90%
Exactly 320.41%
Exactly 55.46%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Alverca
Exactly 026.49%
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 223.37%
Exactly 310.35%
Exactly 43.44%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 037.38%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.10%
Exactly 35.94%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.28%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 41.88%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alverca
Exactly 054.06%
Exactly 133.25%
Exactly 210.22%
Exactly 32.10%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 063.40%
Exactly 128.89%
Exactly 26.58%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alverca
Wins by 2+ goals20.68%
Wins by 3+ goals7.46%
Wins by 4+ goals2.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals9.97%
Wins by 3+ goals2.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Alverca
Estrela
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Alverca
Wins by 1 goal23.84%
Wins by 2 goals13.22%
Wins by 3 goals5.31%
Wins by 4 goals1.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal17.66%
Wins by 2 goals7.26%
Wins by 3 goals2.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.10%9.90%
1.567.20%32.80%
2.540.73%59.27%
3.520.32%79.68%
4.58.52%91.48%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Alverca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.51%26.49%
1.538.32%61.68%
2.514.95%85.05%
3.54.60%95.40%
4.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.62%37.38%
1.525.84%74.16%
2.57.74%92.26%
3.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.72%34.28%
1.529.02%70.98%
2.59.38%90.62%
3.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alverca
Estrela
Score01234
0
9.90%
9.74%
4.80%
1.57%
0.39%
1
13.15%
12.94%
6.37%
2.09%
0.51%
2
8.74%
8.60%
4.23%
1.39%
0.34%
3
3.87%
3.81%
1.87%
0.61%
0.15%
4
1.28%
1.26%
0.62%
0.20%
0.05%
5
0.34%
0.34%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Alverca
1-013.15%
2-08.74%
2-18.60%
3-03.87%
3-13.81%
3-21.87%
4-01.28%
4-11.26%
4-20.62%
4-30.20%
5-00.34%
5-10.34%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-09.90%
1-112.94%
2-24.23%
3-30.61%
Estrela
0-19.74%
0-24.80%
1-26.37%
0-31.57%
1-32.09%
2-31.39%
0-40.39%
1-40.51%
2-40.34%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Alverca
Estrela
Score0123
0
34.28%
15.62%
3.56%
0.54%
1
21.08%
9.61%
2.19%
0.33%
2
6.48%
2.95%
0.67%
0.10%
3
1.33%
0.61%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.20%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Alverca
1-021.08%
2-06.48%
2-12.95%
3-01.33%
3-10.61%
3-20.14%
4-00.20%
Draw
0-034.28%
1-19.61%
2-20.67%
Estrela
0-115.62%
0-23.56%
1-22.19%
0-30.54%
1-30.33%
2-30.10%
AVS Futebol at Braga
Moreirense at Gil Vicente FC