Estrela at Estoril

Updated

Estrela

11.0%19.0%70.0%
WinDrawEstoril Win
0.69Projected Goals 2.08
1Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 0-4 at Estoril+160
L 1-0 vs AVS+130
W 0-2 vs Porto+510
L 0-1 at Arouca+275
L 1-0 vs SC Farense+165
Estoril
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Estrela+175
T 2-2 at Moreirense+180
L 2-1 vs Benfica+1200
W 3-1 at Casa Pia AC+220
L 2-0 vs Braga+375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+310-+405+360+401+360+405+397.1
Estoril-115--142-139-138-139-138-116.5
Draw+250-+260+255+257+255+260+283.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+320----+410+410+397.1
Estoril-115-----130-130-116.5
Draw+260----+245+245+283.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Estoril: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 20.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +410 to +395
Estoril ML moved from -133 to -141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Estoril: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 30.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estrela ML
No Steam Moves On Estoril ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125-o2¼-118o2¼-118o2¼-112o2¼-118o2¼-112o2¼-107
Underu2¼+105-u2¼-102u2¼-102u2¼-108u2¼-102u2¼-102u2¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-107
Under-----u2¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.29%
Exactly 224.07%
Exactly 415.35%
Exactly 63.91%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.40%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 58.49%
Exactly 71.55%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 050.52%
Exactly 134.50%
Exactly 211.78%
Exactly 32.68%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 012.45%
Exactly 125.94%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 318.77%
Exactly 49.77%
Exactly 54.07%
Exactly 61.41%
Exactly 70.42%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.78%
Exactly 222.79%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 39.73%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 072.89%
Exactly 123.05%
Exactly 23.64%
Exactly 30.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 038.11%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.73%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals2.79%
Wins by 3+ goals0.51%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals45.06%
Wins by 3+ goals23.67%
Wins by 4+ goals10.30%
Wins by 5+ goals3.78%
Wins by 6+ goals1.18%
Wins by 7+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Estoril
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal8.16%
Wins by 2 goals2.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.45%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal24.92%
Wins by 2 goals21.39%
Wins by 3 goals13.37%
Wins by 4 goals6.52%
Wins by 5 goals2.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.87%
Wins by 7 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.71%6.29%
1.576.31%23.69%
2.552.25%47.75%
3.530.06%69.94%
4.514.71%85.29%
5.56.22%93.78%
6.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.48%50.52%
1.514.99%85.01%
2.53.21%96.79%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.55%12.45%
1.561.61%38.39%
2.534.59%65.41%
3.515.82%84.18%
4.56.05%93.95%
5.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.22%27.78%
1.536.63%63.37%
2.513.85%86.15%
3.54.12%95.88%
4.51.01%98.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Estoril
Score012345
0
6.29%
13.10%
13.65%
9.48%
4.94%
2.06%
1
4.29%
8.95%
9.32%
6.47%
3.37%
1.40%
2
1.47%
3.05%
3.18%
2.21%
1.15%
0.48%
3
0.33%
0.70%
0.72%
0.50%
0.26%
0.11%
Estrela
1-04.29%
2-01.47%
2-13.05%
3-00.33%
3-10.70%
3-20.72%
Draw
0-06.29%
1-18.95%
2-23.18%
3-30.50%
Estoril
0-113.10%
0-213.65%
1-29.32%
0-39.48%
1-36.47%
2-32.21%
0-44.94%
1-43.37%
2-41.15%
3-40.26%
0-52.06%
1-51.40%
2-50.48%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Estoril
Score012345
0
27.78%
26.80%
12.93%
4.16%
1.00%
0.19%
1
8.78%
8.47%
4.09%
1.31%
0.32%
0.06%
2
1.39%
1.34%
0.65%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.15%
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Estrela
1-08.78%
2-01.39%
2-11.34%
3-00.15%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-027.78%
1-18.47%
2-20.65%
Estoril
0-126.80%
0-212.93%
1-24.09%
0-34.16%
1-31.31%
2-30.21%
0-41.00%
1-40.32%
0-50.19%