Nacional at Moreirense

Updated

Nacional

18.1%23.1%58.8%
WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.77
1Final Score 1

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+150
W 1-0 at Boavista+145
L 1-0 vs Estrela+105
L 0-1 at Santa Clara+445
W 1-3 vs Casa Pia AC+150
Moreirense
Money Line
L 1-3 at Sporting CP+1775
L 2-0 vs Rio Ave+135
W 1-0 at Gil Vicente FC+235
T 2-2 vs Vitoria+280
W 0-1 vs Boavista-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+245+192+190+172+187+172+192+194.4
Moreirense+120+166+155+155+161+155+166+176.0
Draw+200+211+195+210+205+210+211+235.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+270----+190+190+194.4
Moreirense+125----+165+165+176.0
Draw+200----+205+205+235.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Moreirense: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +198 to +192
Moreirense ML moved from +164 to +148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Moreirense: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +200 to +190
Moreirense ML moved from +125 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2½+110o2¼-120o2¼-128o2¼-125o2¼-128o2¼-120o2¼-117
Underu2¼-120u2½-130u2¼+100u2¼+108u2¼+103u2¼+108u2½-130u2¼+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-117
Under-----u2¼+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.14%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 414.44%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.84%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 57.62%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 041.99%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 215.81%
Exactly 34.57%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 017.00%
Exactly 130.12%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 315.76%
Exactly 46.98%
Exactly 52.47%
Exactly 60.73%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.46%
Exactly 222.00%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 38.96%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 066.91%
Exactly 126.89%
Exactly 25.40%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 044.02%
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 214.82%
Exactly 34.05%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals5.73%
Wins by 3+ goals1.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals33.51%
Wins by 3+ goals15.33%
Wins by 4+ goals5.74%
Wins by 5+ goals1.79%
Wins by 6+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal12.35%
Wins by 2 goals4.36%
Wins by 3 goals1.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal25.21%
Wins by 2 goals18.17%
Wins by 3 goals9.59%
Wins by 4 goals3.96%
Wins by 5 goals1.33%
Wins by 6 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.86%7.14%
1.574.02%25.98%
2.549.15%50.85%
3.527.27%72.73%
4.512.83%87.17%
5.55.20%94.80%
6.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.01%41.99%
1.521.58%78.42%
2.55.77%94.23%
3.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.00%17.00%
1.552.88%47.12%
2.526.19%73.81%
3.510.43%89.57%
4.53.44%96.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.54%29.46%
1.534.54%65.46%
2.512.54%87.46%
3.53.57%96.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Moreirense
Score012345
0
7.14%
12.65%
11.21%
6.62%
2.93%
1.04%
1
6.19%
10.98%
9.72%
5.74%
2.54%
0.90%
2
2.69%
4.76%
4.22%
2.49%
1.10%
0.39%
3
0.78%
1.38%
1.22%
0.72%
0.32%
0.11%
4
0.17%
0.30%
0.26%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
Nacional
1-06.19%
2-02.69%
2-14.76%
3-00.78%
3-11.38%
3-21.22%
4-00.17%
4-10.30%
4-20.26%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-07.14%
1-110.98%
2-24.22%
3-30.72%
Moreirense
0-112.65%
0-211.21%
1-29.72%
0-36.62%
1-35.74%
2-32.49%
0-42.93%
1-42.54%
2-41.10%
3-40.32%
0-51.04%
1-50.90%
2-50.39%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Moreirense
Score01234
0
29.46%
24.17%
9.91%
2.71%
0.56%
1
11.84%
9.71%
3.98%
1.09%
0.22%
2
2.38%
1.95%
0.80%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.32%
0.26%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Nacional
1-011.84%
2-02.38%
2-11.95%
3-00.32%
3-10.26%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.46%
1-19.71%
2-20.80%
Moreirense
0-124.17%
0-29.91%
1-23.98%
0-32.71%
1-31.09%
2-30.22%
0-40.56%
1-40.22%
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