Casa Pia AC at Nacional

Updated

Casa Pia AC

30.1%27.8%42.0%
Casa Pia AC WinDrawNacional Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.29
1Final Score 3

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Casa Pia AC
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Sporting CP+535
L 0-1 at Vitoria+410
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+125
L 2-3 at Moreirense+220
W 0-1 vs Estrela-115
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-3 at Benfica+1225
W 1-2 vs Famalicao+185
L 0-1 at Braga+550
T 2-2 vs Estoril+125
W 2-0 at SC Farense+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+202+220+205+183+219+183+220+205.0
Nacional+146+136+140+140+126+140+140+158.7
Draw+230+228+205+225+229+225+229+250.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+200----+215+215+205.0
Nacional+140----+150+150+158.7
Draw+235----+200+200+250.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Nacional: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 30.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +225 to +219
Nacional ML moved from +140 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Nacional: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Casa Pia AC ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2½+119o2¼-112o2¼-115o2¼-114o2¼-115o2¼-112o2¼-104
Underu2½-147u2½-140u2¼-108u2¼-105u2¼-106u2¼-105u2½-140u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.62%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 412.05%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.52%
Exactly 320.58%
Exactly 55.64%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 035.01%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.28%
Exactly 36.74%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 027.46%
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 222.93%
Exactly 39.88%
Exactly 43.19%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.82%
Exactly 219.88%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.18%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 061.52%
Exactly 129.89%
Exactly 27.26%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 054.97%
Exactly 132.89%
Exactly 29.84%
Exactly 31.96%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals11.42%
Wins by 3+ goals3.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals19.01%
Wins by 3+ goals6.68%
Wins by 4+ goals1.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Casa Pia AC
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal18.67%
Wins by 2 goals8.13%
Wins by 3 goals2.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal22.99%
Wins by 2 goals12.34%
Wins by 3 goals4.80%
Wins by 4 goals1.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.38%9.62%
1.567.87%32.13%
2.541.50%58.50%
3.520.92%79.08%
4.58.87%91.13%
5.53.23%96.77%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.99%35.01%
1.528.24%71.76%
2.58.96%91.04%
3.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.54%27.46%
1.537.05%62.95%
2.514.11%85.89%
3.54.23%95.77%
4.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.18%33.82%
1.529.52%70.48%
2.59.64%90.36%
3.52.46%97.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Casa Pia AC
Nacional
Score012345
0
9.62%
12.43%
8.03%
3.46%
1.12%
0.29%
1
10.09%
13.04%
8.43%
3.63%
1.17%
0.30%
2
5.29%
6.84%
4.42%
1.90%
0.62%
0.16%
3
1.85%
2.39%
1.55%
0.67%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.49%
0.63%
0.41%
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.13%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Casa Pia AC
1-010.09%
2-05.29%
2-16.84%
3-01.85%
3-12.39%
3-21.55%
4-00.49%
4-10.63%
4-20.41%
4-30.17%
5-00.10%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-09.62%
1-113.04%
2-24.42%
3-30.67%
Nacional
0-112.43%
0-28.03%
1-28.43%
0-33.46%
1-33.63%
2-31.90%
0-41.12%
1-41.17%
2-40.62%
3-40.22%
0-50.29%
1-50.30%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Casa Pia AC
Nacional
Score01234
0
33.82%
20.23%
6.05%
1.21%
0.18%
1
16.43%
9.83%
2.94%
0.59%
0.09%
2
3.99%
2.39%
0.71%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.65%
0.39%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Casa Pia AC
1-016.43%
2-03.99%
2-12.39%
3-00.65%
3-10.39%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.82%
1-19.83%
2-20.71%
Nacional
0-120.23%
0-26.05%
1-22.94%
0-31.21%
1-30.59%
2-30.14%
0-40.18%
Estoril at Arouca
Benfica at Rio Ave