Benfica at Estrela

Updated

Benfica

77.7%14.6%7.7%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.52Projected Goals 0.67
4Final Score 1

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Boavista-850
W 1-4 vs Rio Ave-625
W 3-0 at Arouca-240
W 0-3 vs Famalicao-390
W 1-0 at Braga+125
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-3 at Vitoria+510
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+260
T 1-1 vs FC Vizela+185
L 4-1 vs Arouca+175
T 0-0 at SC Farense+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-375--385-390-376-390-376-313.4
Estrela+900-+900+950+995+950+995+1002.4
Draw+460-+500+530+530+530+530+561.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-385-----415-415-313.4
Estrela+975----+1050+1050+1002.4
Draw+515----+535+535+561.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -374 to -389
Estrela ML moved from +1049 to +995

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Estrela: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -400 to -415
Estrela ML moved from +1100 to +950

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105-o3-118o3-123o3-124o3-123o3-118o3-112
Underu3-125-u3-102u3+103u3+104u3+103u3+104u3+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-112
Under-----u3+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.11%
Exactly 220.94%
Exactly 417.77%
Exactly 66.03%
Exactly 81.10%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.12%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 511.34%
Exactly 72.75%
Exactly 90.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 08.01%
Exactly 120.22%
Exactly 225.52%
Exactly 321.48%
Exactly 413.55%
Exactly 56.84%
Exactly 62.88%
Exactly 71.04%
Exactly 80.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 051.32%
Exactly 134.24%
Exactly 211.42%
Exactly 32.54%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.82%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 44.53%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.72%
Exactly 312.27%
Exactly 51.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 031.07%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 221.22%
Exactly 38.27%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 073.43%
Exactly 122.68%
Exactly 23.50%
Exactly 30.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals55.67%
Wins by 3+ goals33.49%
Wins by 4+ goals16.96%
Wins by 5+ goals7.31%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals1.86%
Wins by 3+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Estrela
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal21.94%
Wins by 2 goals22.19%
Wins by 3 goals16.52%
Wins by 4 goals9.66%
Wins by 5 goals4.62%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal5.79%
Wins by 2 goals1.54%
Wins by 3 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.89%4.11%
1.582.77%17.23%
2.561.83%38.17%
3.539.56%60.44%
4.521.79%78.21%
5.510.44%89.56%
6.54.41%95.59%
7.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.99%8.01%
1.571.77%28.23%
2.546.24%53.76%
3.524.77%75.23%
4.511.21%88.79%
5.54.37%95.63%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.68%51.32%
1.514.45%85.55%
2.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.18%22.82%
1.543.47%56.53%
2.518.56%81.44%
3.56.29%93.71%
4.51.75%98.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Estrela
Score0123
0
4.11%
2.74%
0.91%
0.20%
1
10.38%
6.92%
2.31%
0.51%
2
13.10%
8.74%
2.91%
0.65%
3
11.02%
7.35%
2.45%
0.55%
4
6.96%
4.64%
1.55%
0.34%
5
3.51%
2.34%
0.78%
0.17%
Benfica
1-010.38%
2-013.10%
2-18.74%
3-011.02%
3-17.35%
3-22.45%
4-06.96%
4-14.64%
4-21.55%
4-30.34%
5-03.51%
5-12.34%
5-20.78%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-04.11%
1-16.92%
2-22.91%
3-30.55%
Estrela
0-12.74%
0-20.91%
1-22.31%
0-30.20%
1-30.51%
2-30.65%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Estrela
Score0123
0
22.82%
7.05%
1.09%
0.11%
1
26.67%
8.24%
1.27%
0.13%
2
15.58%
4.81%
0.74%
0.08%
3
6.07%
1.88%
0.29%
0.03%
4
1.77%
0.55%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.41%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
Benfica
1-026.67%
2-015.58%
2-14.81%
3-06.07%
3-11.88%
3-20.29%
4-01.77%
4-10.55%
5-00.41%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-022.82%
1-18.24%
2-20.74%
Estrela
0-17.05%
0-21.09%
1-21.27%
0-30.11%
1-30.13%