Moreirense at Estoril

Updated

Moreirense

26.9%28.1%45.0%
Moreirense WinDrawEstoril Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.31
3Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Casa Pia AC-145
T 0-0 at FC Vizela+155
W 2-5 vs Portimonense-145
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+120
T 0-0 vs Benfica+550
Estoril
Money Line
L 1-5 at Sporting CP+1000
W 0-4 vs SC Farense-115
T 1-1 at Famalicao+215
W 0-4 vs Chaves-110
L 1-3 at Braga+600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+195+217+205+215+221+215+221+230.4
Estoril+145+134+135+130+129+130+135+141.3
Draw+215+236+220+237+240+237+240+253.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+180----+195+195+230.4
Estoril+145----+140+140+141.3
Draw+250----+240+240+253.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Estoril: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +196 to +189
Estoril ML moved from +140 to +134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Estoril: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML
No Steam Moves On Estoril ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-104o2½-105o2½-105o2½+101o2½-105o2½+101o2½+104
Underu2½-112u2½-114u2½-115u2½-115u2½-119u2½-115u2½-114u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.46%
Exactly 226.66%
Exactly 411.32%
Exactly 61.92%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.62%
Exactly 320.06%
Exactly 55.11%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 038.81%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.38%
Exactly 35.48%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 026.95%
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 223.17%
Exactly 310.12%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.16%
Exactly 219.21%
Exactly 41.75%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.69%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 064.52%
Exactly 128.27%
Exactly 26.19%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 054.50%
Exactly 133.08%
Exactly 210.04%
Exactly 32.03%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals9.44%
Wins by 3+ goals2.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals20.77%
Wins by 3+ goals7.43%
Wins by 4+ goals2.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal17.45%
Wins by 2 goals6.95%
Wins by 3 goals1.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal24.18%
Wins by 2 goals13.34%
Wins by 3 goals5.31%
Wins by 4 goals1.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.54%10.46%
1.565.92%34.08%
2.539.27%60.73%
3.519.21%80.79%
4.57.89%92.11%
5.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.19%38.81%
1.524.45%75.55%
2.57.07%92.93%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.05%26.95%
1.537.71%62.29%
2.514.54%85.46%
3.54.42%95.58%
4.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.84%35.16%
1.528.09%71.91%
2.58.88%91.12%
3.52.19%97.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Estoril
Score012345
0
10.46%
13.72%
8.99%
3.93%
1.29%
0.34%
1
9.90%
12.98%
8.51%
3.72%
1.22%
0.32%
2
4.68%
6.14%
4.03%
1.76%
0.58%
0.15%
3
1.48%
1.94%
1.27%
0.56%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.35%
0.46%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-09.90%
2-04.68%
2-16.14%
3-01.48%
3-11.94%
3-21.27%
4-00.35%
4-10.46%
4-20.30%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.46%
1-112.98%
2-24.03%
3-30.56%
Estoril
0-113.72%
0-28.99%
1-28.51%
0-33.93%
1-33.72%
2-31.76%
0-41.29%
1-41.22%
2-40.58%
3-40.18%
0-50.34%
1-50.32%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Estoril
Score01234
0
35.16%
21.34%
6.48%
1.31%
0.20%
1
15.41%
9.35%
2.84%
0.57%
0.09%
2
3.38%
2.05%
0.62%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.49%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-015.41%
2-03.38%
2-12.05%
3-00.49%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-035.16%
1-19.35%
2-20.62%
Estoril
0-121.34%
0-26.48%
1-22.84%
0-31.31%
1-30.57%
2-30.13%
0-40.20%
Sporting CP at Chaves
Estrela at Gil Vicente FC