Porto at Estoril

Updated

Porto

74.5%16.6%8.9%
Porto WinDrawWin
2.28Projected Goals 0.65
2Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 0-2 vs AVS-400
L 0-1 at Braga+110
W 2-0 at Arouca-155
T 1-1 vs Vitoria-140
W 1-0 at SC Farense-170
Estoril
Money Line
T 1-1 at Arouca+320
T 2-2 vs SC Farense+130
L 1-3 at Sporting CP+925
W 1-2 vs Rio Ave+110
T 2-2 at Nacional+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-185-172-185-182-192-182-172-148.4
Estoril+500+507+500+460+522+460+522+505.0
Draw+290+311+290+290+314+290+314+321.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-190-----175-175-148.4
Estoril+535----+510+510+505.0
Draw+320----+300+300+321.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 30.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Estoril: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -175 to -185
Estoril ML moved from +470 to +460

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 30.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Porto ML
Estoril ML moved from +535 to +515

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-104o2½-105o2½-107o2½-107o2½-107o2½-104o2½+103
Underu2½-118u2½-113u2½-115u2½-113u2½-113u2½-113u2½-113u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+103
Under-----u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.8%
 
No57.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.33%
Exactly 222.90%
Exactly 416.41%
Exactly 64.71%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.62%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.63%
Exactly 71.97%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 010.17%
Exactly 123.25%
Exactly 226.57%
Exactly 320.24%
Exactly 411.56%
Exactly 55.29%
Exactly 62.01%
Exactly 70.66%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 052.34%
Exactly 133.88%
Exactly 210.97%
Exactly 32.37%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.72%
Exactly 223.71%
Exactly 43.64%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.93%
Exactly 310.73%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 034.71%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.43%
Exactly 36.85%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 074.10%
Exactly 122.21%
Exactly 23.33%
Exactly 30.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals50.72%
Wins by 3+ goals28.55%
Wins by 4+ goals13.41%
Wins by 5+ goals5.33%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals2.14%
Wins by 3+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Estoril
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Porto
Wins by 1 goal23.69%
Wins by 2 goals22.17%
Wins by 3 goals15.14%
Wins by 4 goals8.08%
Wins by 5 goals3.52%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal6.70%
Wins by 2 goals1.77%
Wins by 3 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.67%5.33%
1.579.06%20.94%
2.556.16%43.84%
3.533.77%66.23%
4.517.35%82.65%
5.57.73%92.27%
6.53.02%96.98%
7.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.83%10.17%
1.566.57%33.43%
2.540.01%59.99%
3.519.77%80.23%
4.58.20%91.80%
5.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.66%52.34%
1.513.77%86.23%
2.52.80%97.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.28%25.72%
1.539.35%60.65%
2.515.64%84.36%
3.54.91%95.09%
4.51.27%98.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Estoril
Score0123
0
5.33%
3.45%
1.12%
0.24%
1
12.17%
7.88%
2.55%
0.55%
2
13.91%
9.00%
2.91%
0.63%
3
10.59%
6.86%
2.22%
0.48%
4
6.05%
3.92%
1.27%
0.27%
5
2.77%
1.79%
0.58%
0.13%
Porto
1-012.17%
2-013.91%
2-19.00%
3-010.59%
3-16.86%
3-22.22%
4-06.05%
4-13.92%
4-21.27%
4-30.27%
5-02.77%
5-11.79%
5-20.58%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-05.33%
1-17.88%
2-22.91%
3-30.48%
Estoril
0-13.45%
0-21.12%
1-22.55%
0-30.24%
1-30.55%
2-30.63%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Estoril
Score0123
0
25.72%
7.71%
1.16%
0.12%
1
27.22%
8.16%
1.22%
0.12%
2
14.40%
4.32%
0.65%
0.06%
3
5.08%
1.52%
0.23%
0.02%
4
1.34%
0.40%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.28%
0.09%
0.01%
0.00%
Porto
1-027.22%
2-014.40%
2-14.32%
3-05.08%
3-11.52%
3-20.23%
4-01.34%
4-10.40%
5-00.28%
Draw
0-025.72%
1-18.16%
2-20.65%
Estoril
0-17.71%
0-21.16%
1-21.22%
0-30.12%
1-30.12%