Estoril at Nacional

Updated

Estoril

25.3%26.7%48.0%
Estoril WinDrawNacional Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.44
2Final Score 2

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Boavista-170
W 2-1 at Gil Vicente FC+295
W 0-1 vs Vitoria+350
W 3-2 at Santa Clara+475
W 4-2 at Estrela+235
Nacional
Money Line
W 2-0 at SC Farense+225
L 2-1 vs Arouca+140
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1175
W 1-3 vs AVS+105
L 1-2 at Rio Ave+290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+260+261+240+225+254+225+261+250.5
Nacional+105+116+115+116+110+116+116+132.9
Draw+225+233+215+225+232+225+233+250.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+220----+240+240+250.5
Nacional+130----+125+125+132.9
Draw+230----+220+220+250.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Nacional: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 20.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +261 to +254
Nacional ML moved from +120 to +108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Nacional: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estoril ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2½+108o2¼-125o2½+101o2½+100o2½+101o2¼-125o2½+110
Underu2¼-105u2½-127u2¼+105u2½-121u2½-122u2½-121u2½-121u2½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+110
Under-----u2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.06%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 412.55%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.75%
Exactly 320.91%
Exactly 56.03%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 038.15%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.71%
Exactly 35.69%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 023.75%
Exactly 134.14%
Exactly 224.54%
Exactly 311.76%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.89%
Exactly 220.33%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.54%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 064.01%
Exactly 128.56%
Exactly 26.37%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 051.39%
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 211.39%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals8.88%
Wins by 3+ goals2.36%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals23.58%
Wins by 3+ goals9.07%
Wins by 4+ goals2.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.68%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal16.35%
Wins by 2 goals6.52%
Wins by 3 goals1.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal24.39%
Wins by 2 goals14.51%
Wins by 3 goals6.27%
Wins by 4 goals2.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.94%9.06%
1.569.19%30.81%
2.543.07%56.93%
3.522.16%77.84%
4.59.60%90.40%
5.53.58%96.42%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.85%38.15%
1.525.09%74.91%
2.57.37%92.63%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.25%23.75%
1.542.11%57.89%
2.517.57%82.43%
3.55.81%94.19%
4.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.11%32.89%
1.530.53%69.47%
2.510.20%89.80%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Nacional
Score012345
0
9.06%
13.02%
9.36%
4.49%
1.61%
0.46%
1
8.73%
12.55%
9.02%
4.32%
1.55%
0.45%
2
4.21%
6.05%
4.35%
2.08%
0.75%
0.22%
3
1.35%
1.94%
1.40%
0.67%
0.24%
0.07%
4
0.33%
0.47%
0.34%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Estoril
1-08.73%
2-04.21%
2-16.05%
3-01.35%
3-11.94%
3-21.40%
4-00.33%
4-10.47%
4-20.34%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-09.06%
1-112.55%
2-24.35%
3-30.67%
Nacional
0-113.02%
0-29.36%
1-29.02%
0-34.49%
1-34.32%
2-32.08%
0-41.61%
1-41.55%
2-40.75%
3-40.24%
0-50.46%
1-50.45%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Nacional
Score01234
0
32.89%
21.90%
7.29%
1.62%
0.27%
1
14.68%
9.77%
3.25%
0.72%
0.12%
2
3.27%
2.18%
0.73%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.49%
0.32%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-014.68%
2-03.27%
2-12.18%
3-00.49%
3-10.32%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.89%
1-19.77%
2-20.73%
Nacional
0-121.90%
0-27.29%
1-23.25%
0-31.62%
1-30.72%
2-30.16%
0-40.27%
1-40.12%
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