Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AVS
Porto		4.4%
84.8%		10.8%
+1800
-1000
+2300
-1050
0
2		-0.15761-0.13972-0.16474
Rio Ave
Sporting CP		4.1%
85.3%		10.6%
+2000
-1300
+1900
-1000
0
4		-0.13906-0.14410-0.15883
Benfica
Braga		49.7%
25.3%		24.9%
+117
+260
+115
+255
2
2		-1.22394-1.24258-1.38834
Gil Vicente FC
Arouca		41.9%
28.1%		29.9%
-112
+340
-110
+340
2
2		-1.24001-1.25734-1.20641
Vitoria
Casa Pia AC		57.9%
18.4%		23.7%
+150
+212
+155
+215
0
0		-1.12800-1.12927-1.44007
Alverca
Estoril		22.6%
51.6%		25.8%
+245
+119
+240
+120
1
4		-0.82371-0.83884-0.66105
Estrela
Famalicao		12.1%
69.7%		18.2%
+625
-200
+600
-200
3
2		-2.02283-1.99517-2.11155
Sporting CP
Vitoria		64.7%
13.7%		21.6%
-227
+575
-230
+620
4
1		-0.42992-0.41066-0.43592
Famalicao
Benfica		8.3%
77.3%		14.4%
+725
-270
+820
-300
0
1		-0.36668-0.33570-0.25692
Porto
Alverca		74.0%
9.2%		16.7%
-300
+875
-300
+845
3
0		-0.34083-0.33647-0.30050
Arouca
Santa Clara		17.7%
58.3%		24.0%
+400
-126
+410
-125
0
0		-1.26348-1.25790-1.42645
Casa Pia AC
Tondela		18.6%
58.1%		23.3%
+240
+126
+260
+110
2
1		-1.27640-1.33207-1.68169
Nacional
AVS		31.4%
40.5%		28.1%
+162
+180
+165
+180
2
2		-1.24559-1.19806-1.26883
Moreirense
Estrela		31.2%
39.8%		29.0%
+180
+173
+185
+175
0
0		-1.16517-1.14536-1.23774
Rio Ave
Gil Vicente FC		17.1%
58.7%		24.2%
+295
-118
+435
-150
2
2		-1.32988-1.38390-1.41840
Braga
Estoril		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-141
+380
-160
+430
0
1		-1.61415-1.71741-1.32961
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).