Moreirense at Estrela

Updated

Moreirense

31.2%29.0%39.8%
Moreirense WinDrawEstrela Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.18

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Benfica+775
T 3-3 at Estoril+245
T 2-2 vs Famalicao+235
L 1-2 at Braga+750
W 2-0 at Arouca+190
Estrela
Money Line
L 1-3 at Porto+1550
W 1-3 vs Arouca-105
L 0-4 at Sporting CP+1750
T 1-1 vs Nacional+140
W 5-3 at Casa Pia AC+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+210-+200+215-+215+215+239.7
Estrela+130-+145+123-+123+145+140.5
Draw+230-+205+220-+220+220+245.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+210----+210+210+239.7
Estrela+140----+140+140+140.5
Draw+220----+220+220+245.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Estrela: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +220 to +200
Estrela ML moved from +133 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML
No Steam Moves On Estrela ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112-o2¼-105o2¼-103-o2¼-103o2¼-103o2¼+106
Underu2¼-108-u2¼-115u2¼-117-u2¼-117u2¼-115u2¼-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+106
Under-----u2¼-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.10%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 410.80%
Exactly 61.74%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.40%
Exactly 319.65%
Exactly 54.75%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 036.29%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.64%
Exactly 36.30%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 030.58%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 221.46%
Exactly 38.48%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.14%
Exactly 218.72%
Exactly 41.62%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.35%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 062.54%
Exactly 129.35%
Exactly 26.89%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 057.78%
Exactly 131.69%
Exactly 28.69%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals11.63%
Wins by 3+ goals3.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals16.98%
Wins by 3+ goals5.57%
Wins by 4+ goals1.45%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal19.50%
Wins by 2 goals8.35%
Wins by 3 goals2.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal22.79%
Wins by 2 goals11.41%
Wins by 3 goals4.12%
Wins by 4 goals1.15%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.90%11.10%
1.564.50%35.50%
2.537.69%62.31%
3.518.03%81.97%
4.57.23%92.77%
5.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.71%36.29%
1.526.93%73.07%
2.58.28%91.72%
3.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.42%30.58%
1.533.18%66.82%
2.511.72%88.28%
3.53.25%96.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.86%36.14%
1.527.08%72.92%
2.58.36%91.64%
3.52.01%97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Estrela
Score012345
0
11.10%
13.15%
7.79%
3.08%
0.91%
0.22%
1
11.25%
13.33%
7.89%
3.12%
0.92%
0.22%
2
5.70%
6.76%
4.00%
1.58%
0.47%
0.11%
3
1.93%
2.28%
1.35%
0.53%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.49%
0.58%
0.34%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-011.25%
2-05.70%
2-16.76%
3-01.93%
3-12.28%
3-21.35%
4-00.49%
4-10.58%
4-20.34%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-011.10%
1-113.33%
2-24.00%
3-30.53%
Estrela
0-113.15%
0-27.79%
1-27.89%
0-33.08%
1-33.12%
2-31.58%
0-40.91%
1-40.92%
2-40.47%
3-40.16%
0-50.22%
1-50.22%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Estrela
Score01234
0
36.14%
19.82%
5.44%
0.99%
0.14%
1
16.96%
9.30%
2.55%
0.47%
0.06%
2
3.98%
2.18%
0.60%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.62%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-016.96%
2-03.98%
2-12.18%
3-00.62%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-036.14%
1-19.30%
2-20.60%
Estrela
0-119.82%
0-25.44%
1-22.55%
0-30.99%
1-30.47%
2-30.11%
0-40.14%
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