Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+355
-125
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2½-105
u2½-114

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Porto
Boavista		76.3%
8.2%		15.5%
-245
+697
-245
+605
2
1		-0.39666-0.39297-0.27090
SC Farense
Vitoria		10.7%
70.3%		19.0%
+597
-189
+625
-200
2
1		-1.97436-2.02837-2.23166
Estoril
Moreirense		28.0%
43.6%		28.4%
+180
+164
+180
+160
2
2		-1.22997-1.22693-1.25776
AVS
Estrela		22.3%
52.0%		25.7%
+233
+133
+240
+130
1
0		-1.25274-1.27397-1.50251
Arouca
Gil Vicente FC		28.2%
42.7%		29.0%
+238
+125
+235
+125
1
1		-1.24490-1.22806-1.23681
Braga
Casa Pia AC		52.1%
22.8%		25.0%
-190
+560
-195
+550
1
2		-1.92449-1.92340-1.57036
Sporting CP
Benfica		25.0%
49.6%		25.4%
+231
+125
+240
+115
1
1		-1.26993-1.27576-1.37231
Famalicao
Santa Clara		27.5%
45.8%		26.7%
+346
-105
+355
-110
1
2		-0.70423-0.69663-0.78049
Rio Ave
Nacional		25.5%
47.3%		27.1%
+254
+105
+250
+100
3
3		-1.37180-1.37279-1.30420
Boavista
AVS		18.3%
58.2%		23.5%
+205
+149
+220
+135
2
1		-1.15722-1.21244-1.69761
Gil Vicente FC
Sporting CP		4.2%
85.0%		10.7%
+1810
-657
+1950
-750
1
2		-0.18092-0.17481-0.16212
Casa Pia AC
Arouca		32.0%
38.1%		29.9%
+277
+113
+285
+105
0
0		-1.26475-1.24327-1.20724
Benfica
Estoril		78.0%
7.5%		14.5%
-513
+1200
-530
+1200
2
1		-0.21705-0.22308-0.24801
Santa Clara
Braga		12.7%
68.2%		19.2%
+390
-125
+380
-125
1
1		-1.31156-1.30122-1.65177
Vitoria
Nacional		48.7%
25.1%		26.2%
-104
+309
-115
+300
2
1		-0.69659-0.67598-0.71900
Famalicao
SC Farense		39.7%
31.8%		28.5%
+160
+194
+160
+190
1
2		-1.10942-1.11541-1.14655
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).