Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 22 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/26/2025 03:30 PM	Nacional Estoril	26.4% 46.5%	27.1%	+206 +149 +200 +145	1 1	-1.23340-1.22670	-1.30678
10/25/2025 07:30 PM	Arouca Benfica	4.6% 84.2%	11.1%	+1242 -530 +1400 -650	0 5	-0.21193-0.19283	-0.17148
10/25/2025 07:30 PM	Rio Ave Estrela	29.6% 41.2%	29.2%	+144 +200 +195 +155	2 1	-0.95566-1.12927	-1.21794
10/25/2025 05:00 PM	AVS Santa Clara	12.1% 68.3%	19.6%	+632 -189 +650 -205	0 2	-0.46150-0.44549	-0.38067
10/24/2025 07:15 PM	Gil Vicente FC Alverca	41.6% 29.7%	28.7%	+143 +235 +140 +225	4 0	-0.91799-0.92637	-0.87794
10/05/2025 08:15 PM	Benfica Porto	28.9% 44.4%	26.7%	+293 +103 +290 +100	0 0	-1.26833-1.27307	-1.32189
10/05/2025 06:15 PM	Braga Sporting CP	11.0% 71.6%	17.4%	+563 -208 +500 -200	1 1	-1.58406-1.57552	-1.74985
10/05/2025 04:30 PM	Tondela Rio Ave	31.3% 39.5%	29.2%	+184 +162 +185 +150	0 3	-0.99155-0.96451	-0.92821
10/05/2025 02:30 PM	Famalicao Arouca	34.9% 35.8%	29.3%	-105 +317 -115 +320	1 1	-1.29598-1.33044	-1.22915
10/04/2025 07:30 PM	Santa Clara Vitoria	21.8% 52.6%	25.5%	+166 +208 +165 +210	1 2	-1.16376-1.18097	-0.64177
10/04/2025 05:00 PM	Alverca AVS	28.2% 43.7%	28.0%	+132 +236 +150 +200	3 1	-0.88003-0.96582	-1.26471
10/04/2025 02:30 PM	Estrela Gil Vicente FC	19.3% 56.2%	24.6%	+430 -135 +525 -165	0 2	-0.60596-0.52192	-0.57677
10/03/2025 07:15 PM	Estoril Casa Pia AC	35.3% 34.5%	30.1%	+173 +180 +170 +180	2 2	-1.20932-1.18026	-1.19995
09/29/2025 07:00 PM	Porto Arouca	67.7% 12.3%	20.0%	-400 +1100 -400 +1000	4 0	-0.26126-0.27403	-0.39081
09/28/2025 07:30 PM	Rio Ave Famalicao	15.5% 62.7%	21.8%	+396 -142 +375 -140	0 0	-1.42014-1.41001	-1.52473
09/28/2025 05:00 PM	Nacional Braga	9.7% 74.2%	16.1%	+705 -228 +730 -250	1 0	-2.11993-2.16491	-2.33707

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).