Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+355
-125
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2½-105
u2½-114

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Moreirense
Porto		7.7%
77.0%		15.2%
+831
-299
+935
-325
1
3		-0.32800-0.31706-0.26101
Estoril
Casa Pia AC		18.3%
57.6%		24.1%
+210
+145
+220
+150
3
1		-1.19349-1.21335-1.69723
Sporting CP
Boavista		80.5%
6.3%		13.2%
-667
+1566
-700
+1800
5
0		-0.18985-0.17983-0.21726
Rio Ave
Vitoria		12.0%
67.9%		20.1%
+623
-218
+610
-225
0
3		-0.41661-0.41703-0.38762
AVS
Benfica		3.2%
88.3%		8.4%
+2550
-1429
+2800
-1550
0
6		-0.12262-0.11350-0.12434
Porto
Estrela		63.7%
14.9%		21.4%
-175
+549
-170
+510
0
2		-1.90994-1.85707-1.90059
SC Farense
Gil Vicente FC		23.9%
48.6%		27.5%
+224
+147
+240
+135
0
1		-0.94371-0.90604-0.72249
Arouca
Santa Clara		19.8%
54.9%		25.3%
+381
-110
+395
-115
0
2		-0.68528-0.67393-0.60037
Braga
Famalicao		44.1%
29.5%		26.4%
+112
+268
+120
+240
1
1		-1.26273-1.24434-1.33264
Benfica
Vitoria		60.5%
17.4%		22.1%
-184
+505
-170
+460
3
0		-0.47369-0.51341-0.50281
Braga
Estoril		56.7%
19.6%		23.7%
-130
+383
-130
+375
2
0		-0.61011-0.61906-0.56725
Estrela
Arouca		26.6%
45.1%		28.3%
+300
+111
+275
+110
0
1		-0.77783-0.79125-0.79573
Gil Vicente FC
Nacional		27.0%
45.7%		27.3%
+208
+153
+210
+150
3
0		-1.16066-1.18061-1.31085
Casa Pia AC
AVS		35.5%
34.7%		29.7%
+147
+202
+150
+205
1
1		-1.19501-1.18061-1.21258
Moreirense
Sporting CP		5.9%
81.0%		13.0%
+1700
-554
+1775
-535
1
3		-0.20664-0.21986-0.21018
Famalicao
Porto		8.7%
76.0%		15.3%
+520
-188
+625
-230
1
2		-0.46506-0.41198-0.27477
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).