Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vitoria
Alverca		48.9%
24.5%		26.5%
+199
+177
+160
+190
0
2		-1.04401-1.11541-1.40470
Sporting CP
Estoril		67.4%
12.6%		19.9%
-392
+1023
-425
+975
1
0		-0.26633-0.26075-0.39380
AVS
Estrela		25.1%
47.9%		26.9%
+247
+126
+265
+120
0
3		-0.85762-0.83829-0.73555
Casa Pia AC
Moreirense		20.1%
55.1%		24.8%
+280
+114
+270
+115
1
2		-0.80006-0.81697-0.59624
Tondela
Santa Clara		19.2%
57.0%		23.7%
+438
-122
+470
-145
2
1		-1.71180-1.79210-1.64771
Gil Vicente FC
Benfica		4.6%
84.6%		10.8%
+950
-318
+1025
-345
1
2		-0.31281-0.30271-0.16763
Rio Ave
Benfica		3.3%
87.8%		8.9%
+1706
-648
+2500
-1000
1
1		-2.20437-2.32616-2.41654
Moreirense
Sporting CP		5.1%
83.0%		11.9%
+1270
-482
+1300
-550
0
3		-0.22762-0.21671-0.18632
Famalicao
Casa Pia AC		47.8%
26.0%		26.2%
+121
+265
+115
+260
1
1		-1.20354-1.22799-1.33956
Estoril
Gil Vicente FC		28.9%
42.0%		29.0%
+307
+102
+310
+100
0
2		-0.74246-0.74345-0.86667
Estrela
Tondela		22.4%
52.4%		25.2%
+271
+135
+265
+120
0
0		-1.18143-1.18123-1.37904
Braga
Vitoria		34.4%
37.1%		28.4%
-106
+317
-110
+325
1
1		-1.29000-1.28616-1.25794
Benfica
AVS		78.8%
7.2%		14.0%
-489
+1256
-600
+1250
3
0		-0.22268-0.20524-0.23875
Arouca
Nacional		36.0%
34.4%		29.5%
+236
+131
+240
+125
2
1		-1.25218-1.27357-1.02051
Alverca
Santa Clara		11.6%
69.2%		19.2%
+443
-126
+450
-135
1
2		-0.61776-0.60349-0.36824
Porto
Rio Ave		72.2%
9.8%		17.9%
-270
+738
-325
+800
3
0		-0.34549-0.31825-0.32508
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).