Porto at Arouca

Updated

Porto

67.7%20.0%12.3%
Porto WinDrawWin
2.01Projected Goals 0.72
4Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 3-0 at Rio Ave-325
W 0-1 vs Nacional-665
W 2-1 at Sporting CP+270
W 0-4 vs Casa Pia AC-500
W 2-0 at Gil Vicente FC-260
Arouca
Money Line
W 2-1 at Nacional+240
L 2-0 vs Casa Pia AC+115
T 1-1 at Vitoria+385
T 3-3 vs Rio Ave+125
L 0-6 at Sporting CP+1325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-230-400-415-455-426-455-400-327.9
Arouca+686+1081+1000+1100+1040+1100+1100+1183.8
Draw+364+543+500+500+516+500+543+541.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-280-----400-400-327.9
Arouca+760----+1000+1000+1183.8
Draw+410----+520+520+541.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -385 to -400
Arouca ML moved from +1065 to +1040

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -375 to -400
No Steam Moves On Arouca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o3-108o3-112o3-110o3-110o3-110o3-108o3+100
Underu2½+104u3-108u3-108u3-110u3-110u3-110u3-108u3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+100
Under-----u3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.54%
Exactly 224.32%
Exactly 415.07%
Exactly 63.74%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.84%
Exactly 322.11%
Exactly 58.22%
Exactly 71.46%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 013.42%
Exactly 126.95%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.12%
Exactly 49.10%
Exactly 53.66%
Exactly 61.22%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 048.75%
Exactly 135.03%
Exactly 212.58%
Exactly 33.01%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.29%
Exactly 222.55%
Exactly 43.00%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 39.49%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 039.46%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.06%
Exactly 35.29%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 071.70%
Exactly 123.85%
Exactly 23.97%
Exactly 30.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals42.35%
Wins by 3+ goals21.55%
Wins by 4+ goals9.03%
Wins by 5+ goals3.15%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals3.27%
Wins by 3+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Porto
Wins by 1 goal25.19%
Wins by 2 goals20.80%
Wins by 3 goals12.52%
Wins by 4 goals5.88%
Wins by 5 goals2.25%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal9.01%
Wins by 2 goals2.65%
Wins by 3 goals0.55%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.46%6.54%
1.575.62%24.38%
2.551.30%48.70%
3.529.19%70.81%
4.514.11%85.89%
5.55.89%94.11%
6.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.58%13.42%
1.559.63%40.37%
2.532.56%67.44%
3.514.44%85.56%
4.55.34%94.66%
5.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.25%48.75%
1.516.23%83.77%
2.53.64%96.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.71%28.29%
1.535.99%64.01%
2.513.44%86.56%
3.53.95%96.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Arouca
Score0123
0
6.54%
4.70%
1.69%
0.40%
1
13.14%
9.44%
3.39%
0.81%
2
13.19%
9.48%
3.41%
0.82%
3
8.83%
6.35%
2.28%
0.55%
4
4.44%
3.19%
1.14%
0.27%
5
1.78%
1.28%
0.46%
0.11%
Porto
1-013.14%
2-013.19%
2-19.48%
3-08.83%
3-16.35%
3-22.28%
4-04.44%
4-13.19%
4-21.14%
4-30.27%
5-01.78%
5-11.28%
5-20.46%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-06.54%
1-19.44%
2-23.41%
3-30.55%
Arouca
0-14.70%
0-21.69%
1-23.39%
0-30.40%
1-30.81%
2-30.82%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Arouca
Score0123
0
28.29%
9.41%
1.57%
0.17%
1
26.31%
8.75%
1.46%
0.16%
2
12.23%
4.07%
0.68%
0.08%
3
3.79%
1.26%
0.21%
0.02%
4
0.88%
0.29%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Porto
1-026.31%
2-012.23%
2-14.07%
3-03.79%
3-11.26%
3-20.21%
4-00.88%
4-10.29%
5-00.16%
Draw
0-028.29%
1-18.75%
2-20.68%
Arouca
0-19.41%
0-21.57%
1-21.46%
0-30.17%
1-30.16%