Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Benfica
Estrela		82.9%
5.3%		11.7%
-476
+1200
-440
+1100
1
0		-0.24627-0.25549-0.18715
Estoril
Vitoria		13.7%
65.3%		21.0%
+337
-116
+365
-130
2
3		-0.66147-0.61984-0.42607
Famalicao
Tondela		37.3%
34.8%		27.9%
+101
+315
-105
+330
1
0		-0.73704-0.72017-0.98714
Casa Pia AC
AVS		27.9%
44.1%		28.0%
+178
+169
+165
+190
2
0		-1.09377-1.02340-1.27633
Vitoria
Porto		17.6%
59.4%		22.9%
+629
-213
+610
-210
0
3		-0.42214-0.44164-0.51904
Estrela
Estoril		11.0%
70.0%		19.0%
+405
-138
+410
-130
1
1		-1.33503-1.28826-1.66231
Tondela
Braga		10.8%
72.1%		17.2%
+601
-189
+640
-210
0
3		-0.45345-0.43888-0.32744
Alverca
Moreirense		23.8%
49.7%		26.5%
+326
-101
+335
+100
1
2		-0.72677-0.74429-0.69870
Santa Clara
Famalicao		26.5%
47.1%		26.3%
+267
+128
+275
+120
0
3		-0.85628-0.83637-0.75209
AVS
Arouca		16.8%
59.8%		23.5%
+346
-129
+405
-140
1
3		-0.63220-0.58933-0.51468
Gil Vicente FC
Nacional		33.6%
37.3%		29.2%
+203
+171
+190
+175
2
0		-1.14479-1.11663-1.09124
Sporting CP
Casa Pia AC		76.7%
8.0%		15.3%
-283
+802
-300
+850
2
0		-0.33628-0.33774-0.26496
AVS
FC Vizela		31.2%
40.1%		28.7%
+354
-121
+350
-125
2
2		-1.36152-1.34519-1.24806
FC Vizela
AVS		21.1%
53.7%		25.2%

+190
+155
0
3		-0.98438-0.62232
Benfica
Braga		44.4%
29.5%		26.1%
-175
+466
-190
+500
1
1		-1.54571-1.52956-1.34151
Moreirense
AVS		29.0%
42.6%		28.4%
+340
-111
+330
-110
3
0		-1.52551-1.50787-1.23619
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).