Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+340
-119
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2¼-135
u2½-115

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Benfica
Rio Ave		72.7%
9.9%		17.3%
-333
+895
-350
+900
3
2		-0.29980-0.29888-0.31846
Casa Pia AC
Nacional		30.1%
42.0%		27.8%
+220
+140
+215
+150
1
3		-0.90805-0.96582-0.86672
Estoril
Arouca		19.9%
54.4%		25.7%
+308
-103
+320
-110
1
1		-1.29850-1.28884-1.35883
Famalicao
Sporting CP		6.6%
80.3%		13.0%
+894
-325
+1000
-325
1
3		-0.31752-0.31866-0.21888
AVS
Porto		4.1%
85.5%		10.4%
+1142
-430
+1225
-400
0
2		-0.27193-0.27135-0.15644
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente FC		37.3%
33.1%		29.6%
+193
+178
+180
+180
1
0		-1.10985-1.07614-0.98733
Braga
SC Farense		59.5%
17.6%		22.9%
+102
+309
+100
+310
1
0		-0.73045-0.74345-0.51975
Rio Ave
Famalicao		17.0%
60.3%		22.7%
+374
+101
+390
-115
0
1		-0.71325-0.67590-0.50640
Vitoria
Boavista		56.7%
19.4%		24.0%
-150
+466
-135
+420
2
1		-0.56166-0.60547-0.56800
Sporting CP
Casa Pia AC		66.7%
13.2%		20.1%
-210
+615
-200
+535
3
1		-0.43606-0.45560-0.40533
Moreirense
Santa Clara		24.1%
49.3%		26.6%
+347
+107
+350
+100
1
1		-1.14022-1.16402-1.32407
Porto
Braga		37.3%
34.5%		28.2%
+126
+249
+110
+270
0
1		-1.28147-1.35662-1.06409
SC Farense
Estoril		24.5%
47.6%		27.9%
+210
+155
+240
+130
2
2		-1.16360-1.18159-1.27654
Nacional
Benfica		4.1%
86.2%		9.6%
+1198
-442
+1225
-500
0
3		-0.24321-0.23270-0.14829
Arouca
AVS		33.6%
36.2%		30.2%
+138
+219
+150
+210
1
0		-0.91599-0.96551-1.08969
Gil Vicente FC
Estrela		22.9%
50.7%		26.4%
+187
+180
+190
+175
1
1		-1.11158-1.12819-1.33325
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).