Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+325
-112
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2¼-135
u2½-115

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Estoril
Sporting CP		3.4%
87.2%		9.3%
+849
-303
+925
-380
1
3		-0.32741-0.28167-0.13669
Braga
Rio Ave		59.3%
17.6%		23.1%
-103
+293
-120
+310
1
2		-1.39675-1.46218-1.73494
AVS
SC Farense		28.3%
42.9%		28.7%
+254
+131
+265
+125
1
0		-1.30137-1.34519-1.26188
Estrela
Moreirense		23.1%
50.8%		26.1%
+363
-104
+365
-110
1
1		-1.20071-1.21322-1.34151
Santa Clara
Boavista		43.6%
28.6%		27.8%
-125
+422
-130
+435
0
1		-1.69043-1.72648-1.25260
Casa Pia AC
Vitoria		17.0%
60.0%		23.0%
+386
-118
+410
-120
0
1		-0.65085-0.65420-0.51033
Porto
Arouca		65.1%
13.8%		21.1%
-168
+490
-155
+455
2
0		-0.50649-0.54775-0.42920
Famalicao
Nacional		37.7%
34.4%		27.9%
+178
+179
+165
+185
1
2		-1.06297-1.09688-1.06569
Vitoria
Porto		11.9%
69.0%		19.1%
+391
-120
+430
-140
1
1		-1.30140-1.32950-1.65585
Moreirense
Famalicao		22.2%
53.1%		24.7%
+233
+144
+260
+130
0
2		-0.92723-0.88317-0.63239
Sporting CP
AVS		79.6%
6.6%		13.8%
-288
+768
-275
+750
2
2		-1.65553-1.65915-1.98123
Santa Clara
Estrela		30.8%
40.4%		28.7%
+115
+281
+115
+290
0
0		-1.18260-1.16334-1.24730
SC Farense
Arouca		18.8%
55.7%		25.5%
+338
+100
+340
-115
2
2		-1.26464-1.28906-1.36728
Rio Ave
Estoril		27.7%
43.2%		29.2%
+258
+113
+260
+110
1
2		-0.79166-0.79308-0.84044
Boavista
Benfica		3.1%
88.8%		8.1%
+1725
-714
+1900
-850
0
3		-0.18189-0.16002-0.11912
Gil Vicente FC
Casa Pia AC		20.4%
54.5%		25.1%
+244
+131
+250
+125
0
1		-0.87462-0.86232-0.60724
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).