Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+340
-115
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2½+100
u2½-120

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nacional
Braga		6.2%
81.3%		12.5%
+566
-183
+550
-210
0
1		-0.47245-0.43925-0.20647
Famalicao
Gil Vicente FC		37.0%
34.3%		28.7%
+246
+133
+235
+135
2
0		-1.27827-1.25956-0.99420
Braga
Vitoria		33.9%
37.7%		28.4%
+243
+125
+255
+125
0
0		-1.23220-1.17899-1.25839
Porto
SC Farense		75.2%
8.4%		16.4%
-159
+477
-170
+500
1
0		-0.52386-0.51089-0.28478
AVS
Rio Ave		22.7%
50.5%		26.8%
+240
+119
+230
+130
1
1		-1.25061-1.21221-1.31669
Arouca
Sporting CP		4.2%
85.0%		10.8%
+993
-385
+1000
-400
2
2		-1.85081-1.88230-2.22433
Benfica
Santa Clara		65.0%
14.6%		20.5%
+101
+332
-105
+325
1
0		-0.72183-0.71832-0.43144
Estoril
Nacional		25.3%
48.0%		26.7%
+261
+116
+240
+125
2
2		-1.24247-1.21295-1.32096
Casa Pia AC
Moreirense		25.8%
46.9%		27.3%
+215
+156
+220
+150
2
3		-0.97740-0.96648-0.75656
Estrela
Boavista		37.2%
33.6%		29.2%
+215
+163
+220
+140
1
0		-1.17905-1.21362-0.98921
Rio Ave
Arouca		23.5%
48.5%		27.9%
+288
+107
+290
+105
1
1		-1.25390-1.22926-1.27550
Estrela
Casa Pia AC		25.3%
47.7%		27.0%
+340
-105
+360
-115
0
1		-0.70546-0.67525-0.74049
Gil Vicente FC
Braga		6.8%
79.4%		13.8%
+417
-147
+410
-150
0
2		-0.55862-0.55890-0.23047
Boavista
Estoril		22.8%
51.0%		26.2%
+524
-164
+475
-170
1
2		-0.50587-0.51184-0.67332
Vitoria
Famalicao		34.2%
37.5%		28.3%
+137
+234
+150
+210
0
0		-1.18329-1.16437-1.26121
Moreirense
Benfica		6.3%
80.7%		13.0%
+1337
-498
+1275
-510
2
3		-0.22231-0.22941-0.21501
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).