Estoril at Moreirense

Updated

Estoril

28.0%28.4%43.6%
Estoril WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.27
2Final Score 2

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Benfica+1200
W 3-1 at Casa Pia AC+220
L 2-0 vs Braga+375
L 0-3 at Famalicao+310
W 3-0 at AVS+145
Moreirense
Money Line
L 1-3 at Porto+935
T 1-1 vs Nacional+165
L 1-3 at Sporting CP+1775
L 2-0 vs Rio Ave+135
W 1-0 at Gil Vicente FC+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+202+180+180+166+177+166+180+186.9
Moreirense+143+164+155+163+160+163+164+183.7
Draw+237+229+210+210+219+210+229+234.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+205----+180+180+186.9
Moreirense+140----+160+160+183.7
Draw+230----+225+225+234.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +186 to +180
Moreirense ML moved from +158 to +144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +205 to +180
No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+109o2½+116o2¼-112o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼+100
Underu2½-128u2½-137u2¼-108u2¼-110u2¼-110u2¼-110u2½-137u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.75%
Exactly 226.73%
Exactly 411.09%
Exactly 61.84%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 123.97%
Exactly 319.88%
Exactly 54.95%
Exactly 70.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 038.34%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.62%
Exactly 35.63%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 028.03%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 222.67%
Exactly 39.61%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.60%
Exactly 218.99%
Exactly 41.69%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.54%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 064.16%
Exactly 128.48%
Exactly 26.32%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 055.49%
Exactly 132.68%
Exactly 29.62%
Exactly 31.89%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals9.94%
Wins by 3+ goals2.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals19.68%
Wins by 3+ goals6.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal18.00%
Wins by 2 goals7.28%
Wins by 3 goals2.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal23.88%
Wins by 2 goals12.81%
Wins by 3 goals4.96%
Wins by 4 goals1.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.25%10.75%
1.565.28%34.72%
2.538.55%61.45%
3.518.67%81.33%
4.57.58%92.42%
5.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.66%38.34%
1.524.90%75.10%
2.57.28%92.72%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.97%28.03%
1.536.32%63.68%
2.513.65%86.35%
3.54.04%95.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.40%35.60%
1.527.63%72.37%
2.58.64%91.36%
3.52.11%97.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Moreirense
Score012345
0
10.75%
13.67%
8.69%
3.69%
1.17%
0.30%
1
10.30%
13.10%
8.33%
3.53%
1.12%
0.29%
2
4.94%
6.28%
3.99%
1.69%
0.54%
0.14%
3
1.58%
2.01%
1.28%
0.54%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.38%
0.48%
0.31%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Estoril
1-010.30%
2-04.94%
2-16.28%
3-01.58%
3-12.01%
3-21.28%
4-00.38%
4-10.48%
4-20.31%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.75%
1-113.10%
2-23.99%
3-30.54%
Moreirense
0-113.67%
0-28.69%
1-28.33%
0-33.69%
1-33.53%
2-31.69%
0-41.17%
1-41.12%
2-40.54%
3-40.17%
0-50.30%
1-50.29%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Moreirense
Score01234
0
35.60%
20.97%
6.17%
1.21%
0.18%
1
15.80%
9.31%
2.74%
0.54%
0.08%
2
3.51%
2.07%
0.61%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.52%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-015.80%
2-03.51%
2-12.07%
3-00.52%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-035.60%
1-19.31%
2-20.61%
Moreirense
0-120.97%
0-26.17%
1-22.74%
0-31.21%
1-30.54%
2-30.12%
0-40.18%
AVS Futebol at Estrela
SC Farense at Vitória