Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 22 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/30/2025 02:30 PM	Nacional Santa Clara	19.7% 56.3%	24.0%	+400 -119 +445 -135	0 1	-0.64023-0.60508	-0.57391
03/29/2025 08:30 PM	Arouca Braga	9.2% 74.1%	16.7%	+432 -139 +440 -155	1 2	-0.56891-0.54611	-0.30009
03/29/2025 06:00 PM	Sporting CP Estrela	69.9% 11.5%	18.6%	-303 +862 -325 +940	3 0	-0.33470-0.31832	-0.35842
03/29/2025 03:30 PM	Rio Ave Casa Pia AC	20.4% 54.0%	25.6%	+344 -105 +300 +100	1 2	-0.69677-0.74051	-0.61626
03/28/2025 08:15 PM	Benfica Gil Vicente FC	74.9% 9.0%	16.1%	-289 +840 -260 +725	3 0	-0.33652-0.37589	-0.28916
03/16/2025 08:30 PM	Estrela Vitoria	13.8% 65.5%	20.7%	+561 -170 +630 -180	0 2	-0.51184-0.49073	-0.42320
03/16/2025 08:30 PM	Boavista Moreirense	12.5% 67.7%	19.8%	+462 -140 +400 -130	0 1	-0.58648-0.62021	-0.39041
03/16/2025 06:00 PM	Benfica Rio Ave	72.7% 9.9%	17.3%	-333 +895 -350 +900	3 2	-0.29980-0.29888	-0.31846
03/16/2025 03:30 PM	Casa Pia AC Nacional	30.1% 42.0%	27.8%	+220 +140 +215 +150	1 3	-0.90805-0.96582	-0.86672
03/16/2025 03:30 PM	Estoril Arouca	19.9% 54.4%	25.7%	+308 -103 +320 -110	1 1	-1.29850-1.28884	-1.35883
03/15/2025 08:30 PM	Famalicao Sporting CP	6.6% 80.3%	13.0%	+894 -325 +1000 -325	1 3	-0.31752-0.31866	-0.21888
03/15/2025 06:00 PM	AVS Porto	4.1% 85.5%	10.4%	+1142 -430 +1225 -400	0 2	-0.27193-0.27135	-0.15644
03/15/2025 03:30 PM	Santa Clara Gil Vicente FC	37.3% 33.1%	29.6%	+193 +178 +180 +180	1 0	-1.10985-1.07614	-0.98733
03/15/2025 03:30 PM	Braga SC Farense	59.5% 17.6%	22.9%	+102 +309 +100 +310	1 0	-0.73045-0.74345	-0.51975
03/10/2025 08:15 PM	Rio Ave Famalicao	17.0% 60.3%	22.7%	+374 +101 +390 -115	0 1	-0.71325-0.67590	-0.50640
03/09/2025 08:30 PM	Vitoria Boavista	56.7% 19.4%	24.0%	-150 +466 -135 +420	2 1	-0.56166-0.60547	-0.56800

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).