Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
AVS
Alverca 		21.0%
52.4%		26.6%
+400
-133
+400
-140
0.81
1.47		2.28
o2¼-129
u2½-120

Sporting CP
Braga 		49.3%
25.2%		25.5%
+109
+260
+110
+255
1.54
1.03		2.57
o2¼-119
u2¼+100

Casa Pia AC
Estoril 		17.4%
59.6%		22.9%
+355
-135
+335
-135
0.84
1.79		2.63
o2¾+100
u2¾-120

Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+435
-147
+430
-150
2.74
o2½-118
u2¾-132

1st H
43:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Arouca
Boavista		29.2%
42.1%		28.7%
+117
+288
+130
+260
3
1		-0.81011-0.88317-1.23182
Braga
Benfica		13.9%
66.9%		19.2%
+711
-282
+750
-300
2
1		-2.13149-2.18836-1.97314
AVS
Moreirense		11.9%
68.5%		19.5%
+351
-104
+390
-120
1
1		-1.21059-1.24514-1.63358
Sporting CP
Vitoria		54.6%
20.8%		24.6%
-103
+292
-110
+285
4
4		-1.32246-1.36074-1.40381
Santa Clara
Famalicao		24.5%
49.9%		25.6%
+174
+210
+160
+230
2
1		-1.04566-1.00550-1.40560
Benfica
Sporting CP		24.3%
50.6%		25.0%
+176
+157
+195
+135
0
1		-0.98115-0.90342-0.68088
Casa Pia AC
Braga		7.1%
78.9%		14.0%
+567
-197
+640
-230
2
1		-1.93628-2.04973-2.64058
Nacional
Rio Ave		22.5%
51.3%		26.1%
+284
+110
+290
+110
1
2		-0.78082-0.79078-0.66660
Vitoria
SC Farense		53.3%
21.0%		25.8%
-130
+423
-130
+400
2
2		-1.31457-1.30247-1.35662
Boavista
Porto		3.9%
86.3%		9.8%
+1415
-600
+1550
-650
0
4		-0.21012-0.19259-0.14733
Moreirense
Estoril		47.9%
24.8%		27.3%
+185
+182
+170
+190
2
2		-1.14570-1.14602-1.29858
Estrela
AVS		34.6%
35.6%		29.7%
+233
+144
+255
+135
1
1		-1.12285-1.11544-1.21261
Gil Vicente FC
Arouca		30.2%
40.2%		29.7%
+262
+126
+260
+125
1
1		-1.17412-1.16402-1.21557
Rio Ave
Estrela		22.9%
50.3%		26.8%
+207
+140
+190
+150
0
1		-0.93265-0.96748-0.68810
Estoril
Benfica		3.2%
88.1%		8.6%
+2500
-777
+2475
-1150
0
3		-0.14521-0.13393-0.12673
Nacional
Vitoria		10.0%
73.0%		17.1%
+790
-253
+600
-230
2
2		-1.59529-1.60724-1.76855
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).