Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
AVS
Alverca 		21.0%
52.4%		26.6%
+425
-141
+420
-150
0.81
1.47		2.28
o2½-109
u2½-108

Sporting CP
Braga 		49.3%
25.2%		25.5%
+100
+280
+100
+280
1.54
1.03		2.57
o2½-105
u2½-112

Casa Pia AC
Estoril 		17.4%
59.6%		22.9%
+370
-135
+370
-145
0.84
1.79		2.63
o2½-118
u2¾-129

Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Famalicao
Vitoria		17.2%
60.7%		22.1%
+314
+105
+325
-105
1
2		-0.75421-0.71832-0.49957
Braga
Gil Vicente FC		56.5%
19.6%		23.9%
-110
+310
-120
+315
0
0		-1.35158-1.38338-1.43263
Arouca
Rio Ave		14.1%
63.3%		22.6%
+210
+144
+210
+140
0
1		-0.93130-0.92591-0.45713
Porto
Sporting CP		23.5%
51.1%		25.4%
+296
+103
+300
-115
0
2		-0.72697-0.67598-0.67191
Casa Pia AC
Estrela		25.7%
47.1%		27.2%
+198
+151
+230
+130
1
0		-1.13184-1.24303-1.35911
Estoril
Boavista		28.9%
42.7%		28.4%
+195
+163
+230
+135
0
0		-1.15664-1.18130-1.25804
AVS
Santa Clara		15.2%
63.0%		21.8%
+478
-137
+440
-150
1
2		-0.58186-0.56138-0.46213
Benfica
Moreirense		69.7%
11.8%		18.5%
-222
+638
-230
+620
1
1		-1.57610-1.58655-1.68973
Moreirense
Braga		10.6%
71.8%		17.6%
+378
-137
+395
-150
1
3		-0.58648-0.56154-0.33112
Vitoria
AVS		52.0%
22.4%		25.6%
-140
+424
-135
+370
0
1		-1.69843-1.60003-1.49834
Gil Vicente FC
Estoril		28.0%
43.3%		28.7%
+149
+208
+150
+200
0
0		-1.20337-1.19696-1.24831
Nacional
Arouca		18.7%
57.2%		24.1%
+321
-116
+280
+100
0
1		-0.65805-0.74482-0.55884
Estrela
Benfica		3.9%
86.6%		9.5%
+1500
-612
+1550
-600
0
1		-0.20116-0.20397-0.14439
Boavista
Famalicao		17.3%
60.8%		21.9%
+506
-170
+525
-165
0
1		-0.51882-0.52192-0.49809
Rio Ave
Porto		7.1%
77.9%		15.0%
+1050
-387
+1075
-400
0
2		-0.26891-0.27362-0.24989
Santa Clara
Casa Pia AC		31.9%
39.1%		29.0%
+171
+209
+160
+200
2
0		-1.03033-1.00550-1.14325
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55052 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.56136 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.54948
0.00104
0.01188

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).