Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 23 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
12/16/2024 06:45 PM	Famalicao Braga	11.4% 71.3%	17.3%	+493 -168 +500 -175	3 3	-1.44587-1.44745	-1.75603
12/15/2024 08:30 PM	Casa Pia AC Estoril	29.9% 41.3%	28.8%	+180 +197 +190 +190	2 0	-1.06758-1.11045	-1.20681
12/15/2024 06:00 PM	Benfica AVS	78.2% 7.5%	14.3%	-520 +1200 -625 +1525	1 1	-1.96369-2.12695	-1.94526
12/15/2024 03:30 PM	Santa Clara Arouca	32.0% 38.1%	29.9%	+142 +241 +140 +240	0 1	-1.25635-1.27232	-0.96464
12/14/2024 08:30 PM	Boavista Sporting CP	3.3% 87.9%	8.8%	+1898 -800 +1850 -1000	2 3	-0.15627-0.14531	-0.12902
12/14/2024 03:30 PM	Gil Vicente FC SC Farense	34.7% 34.6%	30.8%	+183 +172 +210 +150	1 0	-1.07899-1.18061	-1.05981
12/09/2024 08:15 PM	Arouca Estrela	21.9% 51.8%	26.3%	+170 +180 +180 +170	1 2	-1.07362-1.04214	-0.65811
12/08/2024 06:00 PM	AVS Casa Pia AC	23.4% 50.4%	26.2%	+380 -119 +390 -120	1 1	-1.27909-1.24514	-1.34029
12/08/2024 03:30 PM	SC Farense Boavista	24.7% 48.0%	27.3%	+202 +155 +215 +150	1 1	-1.15823-1.14819	-1.29887
12/07/2024 08:30 PM	Porto Famalicao	64.5% 15.1%	20.4%	-251 +754 -255 +710	1 1	-1.61164-1.60909	-1.58724
12/07/2024 06:00 PM	Rio Ave Santa Clara	21.0% 53.0%	26.0%	+500 -138 +420 -135	0 1	-0.56676-0.60547	-0.63533
12/07/2024 06:00 PM	Vitoria Benfica	9.7% 73.8%	16.5%	+949 -332 +925 -340	0 1	-0.30271-0.30862	-0.30370
12/07/2024 03:30 PM	Nacional Gil Vicente FC	19.5% 56.4%	24.0%	+296 +108 +300 -105	1 2	-0.75858-0.71980	-0.57206
12/06/2024 08:15 PM	Estoril Braga	5.9% 81.2%	12.8%	+1055 -393 +1100 -425	2 2	-1.90865-1.88407	-2.05362
12/05/2024 08:15 PM	Sporting CP Moreirense	61.5% 16.3%	22.2%	-284 +861 -330 +900	1 2	-2.29531-2.35388	-1.81296
12/02/2024 08:45 PM	Casa Pia AC Porto	4.1% 85.5%	10.4%	+1508 -500 +1350 -500	0 2	-0.21432-0.23154	-0.15696

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).