Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Tondela 		27.1%
45.1%		27.9%
+290
+114
+285
+105
0.96
1.33		2.29
o2¼-122
u2¼+103

Games for Mar 8, 2026
Games for Mar 10, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Estrela
Sporting CP		3.9%
86.1%		10.0%
+1100
-460
+1225
-550
2
3		-0.22915-0.21647-0.15007
Boavista
Rio Ave		27.3%
44.5%		28.2%
+170
+163
+165
+165
0
2		-1.01074-1.02641-0.81045
Vitoria
Moreirense		32.6%
38.2%		29.2%
+158
+191
+155
+190
0
1		-1.10455-1.11301-0.96359
FC Vizela
Casa Pia AC		23.8%
49.8%		26.4%
+255
+117
+255
+115
1
0		-1.30545-1.31557-1.43641
Portimonense
Braga		7.3%
77.8%		14.9%
+1160
-410
+925
-410
1
6		-0.23925-0.26774-0.25081
Gil Vicente FC
Famalicao		24.9%
49.0%		26.1%
+257
+115
+275
+100
1
3		-0.79913-0.74421-0.71417
Benfica
Chaves		79.0%
7.1%		13.9%
-333
+900
-395
+925
2
0		-0.29769-0.27616-0.23565
Estoril
Porto		5.8%
81.2%		13.0%
+1300
-467
+1250
-550
1
0		-2.65883-2.65484-2.85527
Sporting CP
Boavista		71.3%
10.8%		17.9%
-260
+750
-245
+625
2
0		-0.36647-0.39116-0.33892
Porto
FC Vizela		67.9%
12.5%		19.6%
-228
+715
-245
+660
2
0		-0.39076-0.39322-0.38778
Famalicao
Estrela		34.8%
36.8%		28.4%
+186
+155
+195
+150
0
1		-0.98171-0.96648-1.00003
SC Farense
Rio Ave		23.5%
48.6%		27.9%
+200
+145
+195
+145
4
3		-1.13868-1.13075-1.36626
Braga
Gil Vicente FC		52.2%
22.6%		25.3%
-161
+410
-165
+385
3
3		-1.55594-1.55391-1.37599
Chaves
Vitoria		15.7%
62.1%		22.1%
+430
-145
+410
-155
0
5		-0.55459-0.55036-0.47576
Casa Pia AC
Benfica		4.5%
85.1%		10.4%
+1236
-427
+1225
-485
1
1		-1.99180-1.97350-2.25886
Estoril
Portimonense		30.6%
39.2%		30.3%
+173
+158
+175
+150
0
1		-0.98663-0.96840-0.93718
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14010 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14335 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.22166
-0.08156
-0.07830

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).