Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 9, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rio Ave
Tondela 		27.1%
45.1%		27.9%
+290
+109
+285
+105
0.96
1.33		2.29
o2¼-120
u2½-129

Games for Mar 8, 2026
Games for Mar 10, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Moreirense
Arouca		29.1%
41.8%		29.1%
+191
+163
+190
+150
1
0		-1.09922-1.11590-1.23371
Arouca
Sporting CP		4.9%
83.3%		11.8%
+1508
-522
+1275
-525
1
2		-0.21296-0.22377-0.18246
Portimonense
Porto		4.7%
83.4%		11.9%
+1505
-552
+1500
-650
0
1		-0.20376-0.19225-0.18131
Estrela
Casa Pia AC		20.0%
55.3%		24.7%
+270
+110
+270
+105
1
0		-1.34811-1.35922-1.60789
Vitoria
Famalicao		28.3%
44.8%		26.9%
+173
+186
+170
+175
3
1		-1.04310-1.04344-1.26199
Benfica
Estoril		72.4%
10.3%		17.3%
-317
+850
-365
+800
1
0		-0.30058-0.29429-0.32360
Rio Ave
Braga		8.8%
74.9%		16.3%
+864
-313
+800
-310
1
2		-1.79132-1.73744-1.81315
FC Vizela
SC Farense		32.0%
38.3%		29.7%
+219
+131
+205
+130
0
0		-1.27397-1.28953-1.21490
Gil Vicente FC
Chaves		34.5%
35.5%		30.1%
+156
+173
+155
+170
2
4		-1.03843-1.04432-1.03693
Boavista
Moreirense		26.2%
46.6%		27.1%
+310
-110
+295
-110
1
1		-1.33556-1.34442-1.30490
Casa Pia AC
Gil Vicente FC		25.3%
47.4%		27.3%
+202
+150
+210
+135
0
2		-0.95620-0.90429-0.74655
Moreirense
Rio Ave		24.8%
47.4%		27.7%
+179
+170
+180
+160
4
0		-1.06465-1.07790-1.39304
Estoril
Vitoria		21.7%
52.4%		25.8%
+355
-120
+330
-120
2
3		-0.63754-0.65682-0.64598
Chaves
Arouca		20.1%
54.5%		25.4%
+305
-101
+285
-105
2
0		-1.42933-1.40031-1.60241
Sporting CP
SC Farense		75.7%
8.2%		16.1%
-258
+711
-260
+650
3
2		-0.35632-0.37577-0.27884
Famalicao
Boavista		33.0%
39.1%		28.0%
+197
+150
+195
+145
2
2		-1.23289-1.24289-1.27475
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14010 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14335 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.22166
-0.08156
-0.07830

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).