Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nacional
Benfica		5.7%
82.8%		11.5%
+1400
-750
+1525
-730
0
2		-0.18656-0.17923-0.18908
Casa Pia AC
Alverca		27.5%
46.1%		26.4%
+320
-109
+350
-115
1
3		-0.71176-0.67566-0.77340
Sporting CP
Estrela		76.5%
8.2%		15.3%
-480
+975
-450
+1025
1
0		-0.25077-0.24940-0.26801
Rio Ave
Santa Clara		19.7%
56.0%		24.3%
+430
-137
+430
-140
2
0		-1.72676-1.71630-1.62536
Vitoria
AVS		54.8%
19.6%		25.6%
-172
+475
-170
+490
1
1		-1.42176-1.43422-1.36098
Moreirense
Famalicao		16.6%
62.2%		21.1%
+650
-220
+700
-220
1
1		-1.47368-1.48444-1.55400
Benfica
Casa Pia AC		78.5%
7.6%		13.8%
-417
+1150
-450
+1470
1
1		-1.95003-1.83910-1.97847
Estoril
Arouca		26.6%
44.8%		28.7%
+190
+148
+175
+145
2
3		-0.93757-0.94448-0.80330
Famalicao
Porto		11.6%
70.8%		17.5%
+860
-256
+700
-245
2
2		-1.59974-1.57726-1.74114
Alverca
Rio Ave		34.0%
37.6%		28.4%
+164
+190
+160
+185
2
1		-0.99266-1.00709-1.07863
Braga
Moreirense		61.8%
15.5%		22.6%
-183
+640
-200
+620
1
0		-0.44498-0.45374-0.48107
Estrela
Nacional		26.0%
48.8%		25.2%
+330
-115
+325
-120
0
2		-0.65585-0.65589-0.71732
Santa Clara
Sporting CP		8.3%
76.4%		15.3%
+900
-305
+850
-300
2
4		-0.32450-0.33774-0.26954
Tondela
Vitoria		19.3%
58.7%		22.0%
+350
-115
+335
-110
0
5		-0.66764-0.69752-0.53343
AVS
Gil Vicente FC		10.3%
69.9%		19.8%
+820
-256
+750
-260
0
3		-0.36114-0.37673-0.35825
Porto
Braga		45.2%
28.3%		26.5%
+148
+216
+135
+230
2
1		-0.94376-0.90429-0.79480
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).