Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 26, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Arouca
Gil Vicente FC 		30.9%
39.1%		29.9%
+172
+163
+165
+160
0.97
1.12		2.09
o2½-118
u2½+108

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Arouca		64.9%
14.0%		21.2%
-243
+694
-275
+725
3
0		-0.37283-0.36139-0.43297
Famalicao
Vitoria		14.8%
64.7%		20.5%
+295
+105
+280
+105
0
1		-0.74739-0.76613-0.43569
Moreirense
Boavista		31.3%
40.0%		28.8%
+145
+237
+145
+225
0
1		-1.24612-1.22666-0.91697
Braga
Rio Ave		52.2%
22.4%		25.5%
-128
+362
-130
+350
0
0		-1.39853-1.38438-1.36802
SC Farense
FC Vizela		23.1%
50.2%		26.8%
+242
+124
+235
+120
1
2		-0.83806-0.83873-0.68941
Casa Pia AC
Estrela		24.2%
49.2%		26.5%
+239
+145
+230
+140
1
3		-0.93194-0.92712-0.70889
Porto
Portimonense		71.8%
9.9%		18.3%
-438
+1300
-400
+1050
3
0		-0.23506-0.27278-0.33066
Boavista
Famalicao		23.1%
52.1%		24.8%
+275
+120
+280
+110
1
1		-1.19630-1.21372-1.39412
Benfica
Porto		32.1%
40.3%		27.6%
+209
+138
+195
+140
0
5		-0.89617-0.92402-0.90867
SC Farense
Sporting CP		4.2%
85.0%		10.8%
+1914
-706
+2250
-1100
2
3		-0.16449-0.13592-0.16284
FC Vizela
Portimonense		30.7%
39.5%		29.8%
+199
+156
+190
+155
0
0		-1.21949-1.21147-1.21009
Gil Vicente FC
Casa Pia AC		31.3%
39.4%		29.3%
+196
+170
+195
+165
0
0		-1.15728-1.14709-1.22854
Estrela
Braga		6.9%
79.3%		13.8%
+750
-275
+800
-310
0
3		-0.34736-0.32903-0.23241
Vitoria
Estoril		44.6%
27.4%		28.0%
+145
+209
+125
+225
3
1		-0.92083-0.86034-0.80694
Rio Ave
Moreirense		25.6%
46.3%		28.1%
+239
+140
+260
+130
0
0		-1.16286-1.13206-1.27018
Arouca
Chaves		39.4%
30.9%		29.6%
+120
+237
+120
+235
5
1		-0.82244-0.83873-0.93019
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).