Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Alverca		73.5%
9.8%		16.7%
-357
+950
-400
+975
4
1		-0.28272-0.27241-0.30775
Rio Ave
Estoril		20.5%
53.1%		26.4%
+370
-137
+345
-135
2
1		-1.58168-1.54393-1.58655
AVS
Tondela		23.0%
50.7%		26.3%
+385
-120
+365
-120
0
0		-1.25145-1.28750-1.33549
Vitoria
Benfica		9.7%
74.1%		16.2%
+1200
-476
+1200
-490
0
3		-0.22252-0.23479-0.29971
Gil Vicente FC
Santa Clara		34.9%
37.2%		27.8%
+240
+144
+245
+135
0
1		-0.93402-0.90199-0.98789
Nacional
Famalicao		20.5%
57.1%		22.4%
+475
-172
+445
-165
0
1		-0.49903-0.52547-0.56017
Arouca
Moreirense		31.6%
39.3%		29.1%
+185
+175
+175
+175
1
0		-1.07781-1.06025-1.15081
Casa Pia AC
Estrela		34.4%
38.5%		27.2%
+200
+165
+215
+150
0
4		-1.01445-0.96582-0.95524
Moreirense
Porto		5.4%
82.5%		12.1%
+1450
-520
+1450
-500
0
3		-0.21354-0.23274-0.19287
Estrela
Rio Ave		29.8%
42.5%		27.8%
+230
+130
+205
+140
1
2		-0.87117-0.92637-0.85682
Santa Clara
AVS		51.8%
21.1%		27.1%
-119
+385
-120
+375
1
0		-0.64462-0.65502-0.65848
Estoril
Nacional		33.4%
39.0%		27.6%
+190
+144
+220
+120
1
0		-1.10428-1.21073-1.09697
Benfica
Arouca		73.5%
9.4%		17.1%
-357
+900
-340
+845
2
1		-0.28731-0.30753-0.30795
Alverca
Gil Vicente FC		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+450
-133
+450
-145
2
2		-1.29040-1.33109-1.45534
Famalicao
Vitoria		32.5%
40.8%		26.7%
+195
+152
+190
+160
2
1		-1.11816-1.11541-1.12436
Rio Ave
Tondela		27.1%
45.1%		27.9%
+260
+120
+265
+120
1
0		-1.31390-1.34458-1.30711
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).