Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+340
-124
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2¼-137
u2½-115

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Famalicao
Alverca		48.9%
25.2%		25.9%
+113
+270
+110
+280
0
1		-1.35468-1.38553-1.37706
Porto
Santa Clara		57.3%
18.9%		23.8%
-199
+700
-220
+725
1
0		-0.45621-0.42317-0.55692
Casa Pia AC
Rio Ave		17.6%
58.3%		24.1%
+215
+146
+240
+135
1
3		-0.95070-0.90604-0.54031
Moreirense
AVS		27.6%
44.6%		27.8%
+120
+260
+110
+275
2
0		-0.82768-0.79125-1.28649
Braga
Estrela		58.1%
18.8%		23.1%
-132
+395
-140
+415
3
3		-1.30793-1.34496-1.46400
Estoril
Benfica		4.8%
84.1%		11.1%
+1000
-476
+1175
-500
1
3		-0.25408-0.23082-0.17294
Arouca
Tondela		30.7%
40.5%		28.8%
+205
+142
+215
+135
1
3		-0.93598-0.90387-0.90283
Nacional
Vitoria		15.4%
63.2%		21.4%
+325
-109
+330
-115
1
2		-0.70911-0.67368-0.45834
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente FC		63.7%
14.8%		21.4%
-217
+575
-210
+610
1
1		-1.52184-1.50819-1.53963
AVS
Porto		4.4%
84.8%		10.8%
+1800
-1000
+2300
-1050
0
2		-0.15761-0.13972-0.16474
Rio Ave
Sporting CP		4.1%
85.3%		10.6%
+2000
-1300
+1900
-1000
0
4		-0.13906-0.14410-0.15883
Benfica
Braga		49.7%
25.3%		24.9%
+117
+260
+115
+255
2
2		-1.22394-1.24258-1.38834
Gil Vicente FC
Arouca		41.9%
28.1%		29.9%
-112
+340
-110
+340
2
2		-1.24001-1.25734-1.20641
Vitoria
Casa Pia AC		57.9%
18.4%		23.7%
+150
+212
+155
+215
0
0		-1.12800-1.12927-1.44007
Alverca
Estoril		22.6%
51.6%		25.8%
+245
+119
+240
+120
1
4		-0.82371-0.83884-0.66105
Estrela
Famalicao		12.1%
69.7%		18.2%
+625
-200
+600
-200
3
2		-2.02283-1.99517-2.11155
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).