Arouca at Portimonense

Updated

Arouca

30.6%30.0%39.5%
Arouca WinDrawPortimonense Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.13
2Final Score 0

Portimonense

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Chaves+125
L 0-2 at Estoril+190
L 1-0 vs Porto+800
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+225
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+170
Portimonense
Money Line
L 0-1 at Santa Clara+255
L 5-1 vs Benfica+1200
T 1-1 at Casa Pia AC+280
L 1-4 at Braga+1000
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+143+116+110+113+125+113+125+123.8
Portimonense+212+232+220+228+225+228+232+244.6
Draw+225+263+270+262+261+262+270+280.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+135----+120+120+123.8
Portimonense+200----+215+215+244.6
Draw+245----+260+260+280.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Portimonense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 10.0%
Portimonense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +116 to +110
Portimonense ML moved from +210 to +200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Portimonense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Portimonense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +130 to +120
Portimonense ML moved from +205 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+107o2½-126o2¾+102o2½-122o2½-117o2½-122o2½-117o2½-111
Underu2½-127u2½+108u2¾-122u2½+102u2½+102u2½+102u2¾-122u2½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-111
Under-----u2½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.5%
 
No58.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.50%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 49.74%
Exactly 61.40%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.99%
Exactly 318.74%
Exactly 54.05%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 038.54%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.52%
Exactly 35.57%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Portimonense
Exactly 032.42%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.57%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 42.17%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.18%
Exactly 217.70%
Exactly 41.37%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.68%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 064.31%
Exactly 128.39%
Exactly 26.27%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portimonense
Exactly 059.36%
Exactly 130.96%
Exactly 28.07%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals10.95%
Wins by 3+ goals2.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%
Portimonense
Wins by 2+ goals16.24%
Wins by 3+ goals5.07%
Wins by 4+ goals1.21%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Portimonense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal19.56%
Wins by 2 goals8.00%
Wins by 3 goals2.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%
Portimonense
Wins by 1 goal23.11%
Wins by 2 goals11.17%
Wins by 3 goals3.86%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.50%12.50%
1.561.52%38.48%
2.534.49%65.51%
3.515.76%84.24%
4.56.01%93.99%
5.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.46%38.54%
1.524.71%75.29%
2.57.19%92.81%
3.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Portimonense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.58%32.42%
1.531.06%68.94%
2.510.50%89.50%
3.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.82%38.18%
1.525.06%74.94%
2.57.36%92.64%
3.51.68%98.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Portimonense
Score012345
0
12.50%
14.08%
7.93%
2.98%
0.84%
0.19%
1
11.91%
13.42%
7.56%
2.84%
0.80%
0.18%
2
5.68%
6.40%
3.60%
1.35%
0.38%
0.09%
3
1.80%
2.03%
1.14%
0.43%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.43%
0.48%
0.27%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Arouca
1-011.91%
2-05.68%
2-16.40%
3-01.80%
3-12.03%
3-21.14%
4-00.43%
4-10.48%
4-20.27%
4-30.10%
Draw
0-012.50%
1-113.42%
2-23.60%
3-30.43%
Portimonense
0-114.08%
0-27.93%
1-27.56%
0-32.98%
1-32.84%
2-31.35%
0-40.84%
1-40.80%
2-40.38%
3-40.12%
0-50.19%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Portimonense
Score01234
0
38.18%
19.91%
5.19%
0.90%
0.12%
1
16.85%
8.79%
2.29%
0.40%
0.05%
2
3.72%
1.94%
0.51%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.55%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Arouca
1-016.85%
2-03.72%
2-11.94%
3-00.55%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-038.18%
1-18.79%
2-20.51%
Portimonense
0-119.91%
0-25.19%
1-22.29%
0-30.90%
1-30.40%
0-40.12%