Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139

1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150

0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900

2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Famalicao
Santa Clara		36.4%
35.2%		28.4%
+148
+226
+160
+200
3
1		-0.94333-1.00550-1.01178
Rio Ave
Porto		4.9%
83.0%		12.1%
+1463
-442
+1400
-525
0
1		-0.22605-0.22078-0.18651
Pacos
Estoril		20.3%
54.0%		25.6%
+322
+110
+290
+105
3
1		-1.45680-1.41157-1.59283
Maritimo
Portimonense		25.1%
46.0%		28.8%
+214
+150
+210
+140
1
2		-0.94305-0.92591-0.77568
FC Vizela
Gil Vicente FC		31.2%
41.2%		27.7%
+207
+147
+190
+145
1
1		-1.24820-1.25917-1.28435
Casa Pia AC
Boavista		31.3%
39.6%		29.1%
+275
+130
+265
+125
0
0		-1.15072-1.14907-1.23347
Estoril
Rio Ave		21.7%
51.2%		27.1%
+221
+164
+215
+155
0
2		-0.99525-0.98355-0.66939
Braga
Maritimo		60.7%
16.6%		22.6%
-111
+334
-120
+330
2
1		-0.66873-0.65682-0.49878
Porto
Sporting CP		34.9%
36.4%		28.7%
+197
+165
+190
+160
2
1		-1.11572-1.11541-1.05174
Gil Vicente FC
Famalicao		27.2%
46.4%		26.4%
+282
+112
+265
+105
1
0		-1.36332-1.34508-1.30214
Portimonense
Vitoria		21.9%
51.8%		26.3%
+348
-103
+350
-115
0
1		-0.69465-0.67566-0.65788
Santa Clara
Arouca		23.1%
50.7%		26.3%
+311
+112
+290
+110
0
1		-0.77386-0.79078-0.67978
Chaves
FC Vizela		19.6%
56.9%		23.5%
+435
-136
+400
-135
0
0		-1.36492-1.33184-1.44881
Boavista
Estoril		25.0%
47.4%		27.6%
+189
+187
+170
+180
1
2		-1.07429-1.07852-0.74699
Sporting CP
Rio Ave		63.9%
14.2%		21.8%
-267
+911
-265
+850
1
0		-0.34817-0.36769-0.44732
Pacos
Portimonense		20.0%
53.8%		26.2%
+242
+138
+230
+135
0
1		-0.89377-0.90429-0.61938
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.31390 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.34458 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.30711
0.00679
0.03747

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).