Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Gil Vicente FC
Braga
10.8%
71.3%
17.9%
+883
-317
+790
-315
0
1
-0.29868-0.32755-0.33841
Casa Pia AC
Rio Ave
22.2%
51.0%
26.7%
+289
+121
+260
+120
1
1
-1.18061-1.19600-1.31976
Santa Clara
Porto
4.4%
84.9%
10.7%
+2391
-722
+1750
-700
1
2
-0.14168-0.18257-0.16315
Benfica
Chaves
80.1%
6.6%
13.3%
-375
+1195
-400
+1000
0
1
-2.57623-2.44750-2.71674
Portimonense
Estoril
28.0%
42.3%
29.7%
+231
+145
+245
+125
1
0
-1.22431-1.28880-1.27368
Pacos
Maritimo
23.3%
49.4%
27.2%
+256
+126
+250
+120
1
3
-0.84413-0.83986-0.70479
Vitoria
Famalicao
26.4%
48.0%
25.6%
+341
-102
+290
+105
1
2
-0.70629-0.76845-0.73401
Chaves
Gil Vicente FC
19.0%
56.7%
24.3%
+273
+115
+255
+115
0
0
-1.25702-1.24258-1.41642
Sporting CP
Casa Pia AC
62.3%
15.8%
21.9%
-247
+900
-260
+850
4
3
-0.35570-0.37392-0.47342
Estoril
Braga
7.4%
77.7%
14.8%
+1192
-362
+1000
-360
1
4
-0.27253-0.29440-0.25189
Famalicao
Pacos
36.2%
35.1%
28.7%
+176
+189
+180
+180
3
1
-1.04569-1.07614-1.01672
Rio Ave
Portimonense
31.3%
37.4%
31.2%
+207
+162
+205
+155
2
2
-1.16098-1.16190-1.16318
Maritimo
Arouca
23.7%
49.0%
27.3%
+245
+130
+250
+120
0
1
-0.86292-0.83986-0.71421
Vitoria
Boavista
30.2%
41.4%
28.4%
+209
+161
+195
+160
1
2
-0.98428-1.00570-0.88271
Porto
Benfica
19.5%
57.6%
22.8%
+363
-119
+330
-115
2
1
-1.55618-1.50657-1.63281
FC Vizela
Santa Clara
34.1%
37.5%
28.4%
+125
+259
+110
+265
1
0
-0.84116-0.79376-1.07502
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).