Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139
+200
+140
1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900
-370
+930
2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Moreirense		70.2%
11.1%		18.7%
-230
+800
-225
+700
2
0		-0.38297-0.41899-0.35320
Gil Vicente FC
Braga		10.7%
71.6%		17.6%
+371
-129
+350
-125
1
0		-1.57745-1.55452-2.23241
Tondela
Porto		3.7%
86.5%		9.8%
+2763
-787
+2000
-900
0
4		-0.14167-0.15689-0.14557
Vitoria
Maritimo		38.7%
31.5%		29.8%
+175
+170
+165
+175
1
0		-1.05705-1.02666-0.94868
Boavista
Belenenses		28.9%
40.1%		31.0%
+117
+289
+110
+285
0
0		-1.21679-1.19942-1.17205
Pacos
Arouca		26.9%
45.5%		27.5%
+283
+115
+235
+130
1
0		-1.37078-1.25846-1.31122
Portimonense
Estoril		13.5%
64.8%		21.7%
+254
+129
+245
+125
0
2		-0.85322-0.86140-0.43320
Santa Clara
Famalicao		16.7%
61.4%		21.9%
+255
+128
+255
+120
0
0		-1.17115-1.19968-1.51700
FC Vizela
Benfica		3.7%
87.2%		9.1%
+925
-315
+1000
-405
1
1		-1.83271-1.89087-2.39833
Famalicao
Vitoria		35.2%
36.8%		28.0%
+190
+156
+175
+160
1
2		-0.96417-1.00550-0.99880
FC Vizela
Santa Clara		22.8%
50.7%		26.5%
+245
+130
+230
+125
1
3		-0.85067-0.86022-0.67924
Porto
Pacos		72.0%
10.4%		17.6%
-309
+974
-340
+975
4
2		-0.31362-0.30750-0.32898
Maritimo
Moreirense		17.8%
57.5%		24.7%
+244
+135
+225
+135
1
0		-1.25727-1.22809-1.72535
Arouca
Sporting CP		4.6%
84.2%		11.3%
+1155
-270
+850
-300
0
2		-0.29087-0.33774-0.17249
Benfica
Portimonense		63.9%
14.8%		21.3%
-189
+547
-200
+550
2
1		-0.45260-0.45463-0.44730
Braga
Boavista		53.1%
22.0%		25.0%
+117
+290
+105
+275
1
1		-1.22670-1.26058-1.38806
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).