Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Braga
Estoril 		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-164
+475
-165
+440
1.43
1.00		2.43
o2½-118
u2½+100

Overall Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Gil Vicente FC
Tondela		34.0%
35.8%		30.2%
+126
+227
+115
+240
3
0		-0.84490-0.81744-1.07860
Belenenses
Braga		14.5%
71.6%		13.9%
+1286
-424
+1300
-475
0
1		-0.24495-0.24114-0.33406
Porto
FC Vizela		69.0%
16.3%		14.7%
-351
+982
-350
+1000
4
0		-0.28141-0.30059-0.37074
Moreirense
Boavista		28.2%
44.3%		27.5%
+179
+190
+175
+175
0
1		-1.08521-1.06025-0.81468
Maritimo
Benfica		6.2%
88.6%		5.2%
+1781
-526
+1900
-650
1
7		-0.19993-0.19189-0.12105
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente FC		60.9%
19.7%		19.3%
-125
+440
-160
+515
3
0		-0.59875-0.53616-0.49518
Arouca
Portimonense		22.6%
53.9%		23.5%
+313
+111
+280
+115
1
1		-1.20644-1.18101-1.44975
Pacos
Tondela		32.0%
39.1%		28.8%
+195
+162
+185
+155
1
0		-1.10256-1.09679-1.13828
Famalicao
Estoril		21.7%
59.1%		19.3%
+253
+155
+200
+135
2
2		-1.17009-1.27540-1.64558
Vitoria
Santa Clara		30.4%
41.5%		28.1%
+144
+235
+130
+215
0
1		-1.21578-1.19690-0.88039
FC Vizela
Arouca		28.2%
45.3%		26.6%
+164
+198
+155
+200
4
1		-0.99258-0.98305-1.26759
Braga
Porto		20.5%
62.0%		17.5%
+661
-224
+650
-240
0
1		-0.39972-0.39686-0.47763
Benfica
Famalicao		57.5%
23.2%		19.3%
-167
+489
-170
+465
4
1		-0.49880-0.51191-0.55262
Portimonense
Moreirense		34.7%
34.3%		31.0%
+227
+146
+230
+140
1
0		-1.20554-1.24039-1.05834
Estoril
Belenenses		52.8%
22.8%		24.4%
+129
+245
+120
+280
1
0		-0.87551-0.83822-0.63927
Boavista
Sporting CP		10.1%
80.0%		9.9%
+1577
-420
+1650
-550
0
2		-0.23292-0.21722-0.22301
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).