Arouca at Santa Clara

Updated

Arouca

15.5%21.4%63.1%
WinDrawSanta Clara Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.93
2Final Score 1

Santa Clara

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+185
L 0-4 at Benfica+1750
T 0-0 vs Belenenses+120
L 0-1 at Braga+450
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-105
Santa Clara
Money Line
L 1-2 at Boavista+215
T 0-0 vs Casa Pia AC+115
L 0-4 at Sporting CP+950
W 0-2 vs Pacos-130
T 1-1 at Vitoria+410

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+285+307+290+275+295+275+307+347.7
Santa Clara+100+103+105+100-104+100+105+108.4
Draw+220+232+215+210+236+210+236+236.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+290----+290+290+347.7
Santa Clara+100----+105+105+108.4
Draw+240----+225+225+236.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santa Clara: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +300 to +280
Santa Clara ML moved from +102 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santa Clara: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +290 to +270
Santa Clara ML moved from +110 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2-139o2¼-102o2¼+113-o2¼+113o2¼+113o2-122
Underu2¼-120u2+117u2¼-118u2¼-133-u2¼-133u2¼-118u2+122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-122
Under-----u2+122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.33%
Exactly 224.11%
Exactly 415.30%
Exactly 63.89%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.47%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 58.45%
Exactly 71.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 043.49%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 215.08%
Exactly 34.18%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Santa Clara
Exactly 014.55%
Exactly 128.05%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.36%
Exactly 48.37%
Exactly 53.22%
Exactly 61.04%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.86%
Exactly 222.75%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.61%
Exactly 39.69%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 068.01%
Exactly 126.22%
Exactly 25.05%
Exactly 30.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santa Clara
Exactly 040.97%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.31%
Exactly 34.85%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals4.71%
Wins by 3+ goals1.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Santa Clara
Wins by 2+ goals38.04%
Wins by 3+ goals18.59%
Wins by 4+ goals7.47%
Wins by 5+ goals2.50%
Wins by 6+ goals0.68%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Santa Clara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal10.79%
Wins by 2 goals3.63%
Wins by 3 goals0.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Santa Clara
Wins by 1 goal24.98%
Wins by 2 goals19.45%
Wins by 3 goals11.11%
Wins by 4 goals4.97%
Wins by 5 goals1.82%
Wins by 6 goals0.55%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.67%6.33%
1.576.20%23.80%
2.552.09%47.91%
3.529.92%70.08%
4.514.61%85.39%
5.56.17%93.83%
6.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.51%43.49%
1.520.30%79.70%
2.55.22%94.78%
3.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Santa Clara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.45%14.55%
1.557.40%42.60%
2.530.36%69.64%
3.513.00%87.00%
4.54.63%95.37%
5.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.14%27.86%
1.536.53%63.47%
2.513.78%86.22%
3.54.09%95.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Santa Clara
Score012345
0
6.33%
12.20%
11.76%
7.55%
3.64%
1.40%
1
5.27%
10.16%
9.79%
6.29%
3.03%
1.17%
2
2.19%
4.23%
4.07%
2.62%
1.26%
0.49%
3
0.61%
1.17%
1.13%
0.73%
0.35%
0.13%
4
0.13%
0.24%
0.24%
0.15%
0.07%
0.03%
Arouca
1-05.27%
2-02.19%
2-14.23%
3-00.61%
3-11.17%
3-21.13%
4-00.13%
4-10.24%
4-20.24%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-06.33%
1-110.16%
2-24.07%
3-30.73%
Santa Clara
0-112.20%
0-211.76%
1-29.79%
0-37.55%
1-36.29%
2-32.62%
0-43.64%
1-43.03%
2-41.26%
3-40.35%
0-51.40%
1-51.17%
2-50.49%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Santa Clara
Score012345
0
27.86%
24.86%
11.09%
3.30%
0.74%
0.13%
1
10.74%
9.59%
4.28%
1.27%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.07%
1.85%
0.82%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.27%
0.24%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Arouca
1-010.74%
2-02.07%
2-11.85%
3-00.27%
3-10.24%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-027.86%
1-19.59%
2-20.82%
Santa Clara
0-124.86%
0-211.09%
1-24.28%
0-33.30%
1-31.27%
2-30.25%
0-40.74%
1-40.28%
0-50.13%