Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Braga
Estoril 		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-172
+460
-175
+490
1.43
1.00		2.43
o2½-118
u2½-102

Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tondela
Vitoria		24.4%
52.0%		23.6%
+426
-170
+450
-175
2
5		-0.50856-0.51795-0.65423
Santa Clara
Maritimo		35.2%
33.7%		31.1%
+184
+192
+190
+170
1
4		-1.08655-1.04064-1.08779
Gil Vicente FC
Pacos		31.1%
40.4%		28.6%
+119
+278
+110
+265
1
0		-0.81054-0.79376-1.16857
Estoril
Braga		30.5%
43.2%		26.3%
+671
-213
+625
-225
0
2		-0.40285-0.41653-0.83889
Famalicao
Gil Vicente FC		34.9%
36.5%		28.6%
+130
+230
+130
+215
0
4		-1.21959-1.19690-1.00734
Arouca
Santa Clara		27.8%
45.4%		26.7%
+326
+100
+305
+100
1
2		-0.72330-0.74188-0.78856
Vitoria
Pacos		31.1%
41.0%		27.9%
+157
+203
+140
+220
2
1		-0.96853-0.92591-1.16639
Maritimo
Boavista		22.5%
53.3%		24.2%
+251
+140
+210
+150
1
1		-1.16626-1.16437-1.41708
Sporting CP
Benfica		27.6%
48.0%		24.4%
+280
+112
+280
+110
3
1		-1.37484-1.38553-1.28797
Porto
Portimonense		55.6%
22.1%		22.2%
-230
+861
-270
+850
3
0		-0.37032-0.36613-0.58672
FC Vizela
Braga		15.1%
72.3%		12.6%
+608
-209
+625
-215
1
4		-0.42182-0.43106-0.32473
Santa Clara
Estoril		15.7%
69.0%		15.3%
+275
+127
+280
+120
2
2		-1.18482-1.14841-1.87856
Vitoria
Porto		10.7%
80.4%		8.9%
+1146
-385
+1100
-425
1
2		-0.26270-0.26161-0.21797
Tondela
Sporting CP		8.4%
84.0%		7.7%
+1509
-561
+1300
-625
0
2		-0.19575-0.19830-0.17466
Pacos
Maritimo		34.8%
34.5%		30.7%
+250
+145
+255
+125
0
2		-0.90936-0.85849-1.06494
Boavista
Arouca		29.9%
41.7%		28.3%
+276
+123
+300
+105
1
2		-0.82200-0.76692-0.87369
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).