Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Vitoria 		25.6%
48.5%		25.9%
+193
+139
+200
+140
1.02
1.51		2.53
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Alverca
Gil Vicente FC 		15.3%
62.3%		22.3%
+430
-150
+445
-150
0.77
1.82		2.59
o2¼-115
u2¼-105

Benfica
Arouca 		71.1%
10.8%		18.1%
-365
+900
-370
+930
2.19
0.72		2.91
o3+102
u3-122

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Estoril
Gil Vicente FC		50.5%
23.0%		26.5%
+335
-107
+330
-115
0
0		-1.30722-1.30457-1.32904
Santa Clara
Braga		9.5%
73.9%		16.6%
+516
-158
+455
-160
0
0		-1.39744-1.41165-1.79667
Gil Vicente FC
Porto		5.2%
82.6%		12.2%
+951
-312
+850
-310
1
1		-1.79667-1.70876-2.10644
Boavista
Estoril		9.0%
73.6%		17.3%
+228
+152
+215
+145
3
2		-1.20982-1.19448-2.40506
Vitoria
Benfica		4.6%
85.0%		10.4%
+801
-297
+750
-310
0
3		-0.31811-0.33058-0.16242
Portimonense
FC Vizela		37.6%
32.0%		30.4%
+249
+127
+255
+120
1
1		-1.23423-1.21073-1.19185
Moreirense
Arouca		26.7%
45.6%		27.7%
+256
+138
+245
+125
1
1		-1.15034-1.19789-1.28410
Sporting CP
Maritimo		77.1%
7.3%		15.6%
-180
+598
-200
+625
1
1		-1.44244-1.45835-1.85521
Tondela
Famalicao		12.9%
67.9%		19.2%
+505
-165
+415
-145
1
2		-0.50803-0.57586-0.38784
Pacos
Belenenses		28.5%
41.5%		30.0%
+147
+232
+140
+210
2
0		-0.92357-0.92591-1.25565
Portimonense
Santa Clara		33.7%
35.2%		31.1%
+315
+106
+315
-105
1
1		-1.23354-1.25931-1.16687
Braga
Tondela		60.3%
17.4%		22.3%
-133
+399
-150
+400
1
0		-0.58415-0.55961-0.50526
Porto
Moreirense		71.9%
10.4%		17.7%
-308
+1016
-325
+950
1
0		-0.31110-0.31745-0.32946
Estoril
Sporting CP		15.1%
63.3%		21.7%
+1000
-303
+1000
-360
0
3		-0.30538-0.29590-0.45787
Famalicao
Maritimo		50.4%
23.6%		26.0%
+188
+170
+185
+155
1
0		-1.07731-1.09679-0.68568
Arouca
Vitoria		22.2%
52.4%		25.4%
+380
-115
+350
-125
3
1		-1.58567-1.55452-1.50589
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).