Belenenses at Arouca

Updated

Belenenses

24.5%27.4%48.1%
Belenenses WinDrawArouca Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.38
0Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Belenenses
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Famalicao+145
L 1-0 vs Braga+335
T 2-2 at Estoril+330
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+295
L 1-3 at Benfica+850
Arouca
Money Line
L 0-1 at Braga+450
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-105
L 1-2 at FC Vizela+255
T 1-1 vs Santa Clara+135
L 0-1 at Boavista+285

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+250+220+210-+219+210+220+235.3
Arouca+112+115+114-+114+114+115+130.5
Draw+232+250+245-+256+245+256+273.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+200----+220+220+235.3
Arouca+140----+120+120+130.5
Draw+235----+255+255+273.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +215 to +203
Arouca ML moved from +121 to +114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Belenenses ML
Arouca ML moved from +135 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2½-122o2½-124--o2½-124o2½-122o2½-109
Underu2¼-112u2½+102u2½+104--u2½+104u2½+104u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-122 to o2½-107
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.16%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 411.57%
Exactly 62.02%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.24%
Exactly 320.25%
Exactly 55.29%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 040.55%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.52%
Exactly 34.97%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 025.06%
Exactly 134.68%
Exactly 224.00%
Exactly 311.07%
Exactly 43.83%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.69%
Exactly 219.44%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.86%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 065.84%
Exactly 127.52%
Exactly 25.75%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 052.69%
Exactly 133.76%
Exactly 210.82%
Exactly 32.31%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals8.24%
Wins by 3+ goals2.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals23.15%
Wins by 3+ goals8.68%
Wins by 4+ goals2.60%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Belenenses
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal16.22%
Wins by 2 goals6.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal24.88%
Wins by 2 goals14.47%
Wins by 3 goals6.08%
Wins by 4 goals1.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.84%10.16%
1.566.60%33.40%
2.540.04%59.96%
3.519.79%80.21%
4.58.22%91.78%
5.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.45%40.55%
1.522.85%77.15%
2.56.33%93.67%
3.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.94%25.06%
1.540.26%59.74%
2.516.26%83.74%
3.55.19%94.81%
4.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.31%34.69%
1.528.58%71.42%
2.59.14%90.86%
3.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Belenenses
Arouca
Score012345
0
10.16%
14.06%
9.73%
4.49%
1.55%
0.43%
1
9.17%
12.69%
8.78%
4.05%
1.40%
0.39%
2
4.14%
5.73%
3.96%
1.83%
0.63%
0.18%
3
1.25%
1.72%
1.19%
0.55%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.28%
0.39%
0.27%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Belenenses
1-09.17%
2-04.14%
2-15.73%
3-01.25%
3-11.72%
3-21.19%
4-00.28%
4-10.39%
4-20.27%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-010.16%
1-112.69%
2-23.96%
3-30.55%
Arouca
0-114.06%
0-29.73%
1-28.78%
0-34.49%
1-34.05%
2-31.83%
0-41.55%
1-41.40%
2-40.63%
3-40.19%
0-50.43%
1-50.39%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Belenenses
Arouca
Score01234
0
34.69%
22.23%
7.12%
1.52%
0.24%
1
14.50%
9.29%
2.98%
0.64%
0.10%
2
3.03%
1.94%
0.62%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.42%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Belenenses
1-014.50%
2-03.03%
2-11.94%
3-00.42%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-034.69%
1-19.29%
2-20.62%
Arouca
0-122.23%
0-27.12%
1-22.98%
0-31.52%
1-30.64%
2-30.13%
0-40.24%
1-40.10%