Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Casa Pia AC
Famalicao		10.3%
73.3%		16.4%
+525
-172
+515
-175
0
2		-0.49392-0.49979-0.31072
Rio Ave
Porto		4.6%
83.9%		11.6%
+1900
-833
+2100
-950
0
1		-0.15072-0.14908-0.17595
Gil Vicente FC
Estoril		36.2%
34.0%		29.8%
+121
+232
+125
+215
1
3		-1.23863-1.19786-1.07837
Vitoria
Braga		16.7%
60.6%		22.7%
+575
-189
+540
-200
2
3		-0.46142-0.45443-0.50068
AVS
Benfica		3.9%
86.6%		9.5%
+2200
-1000
+2100
-1100
0
3		-0.13787-0.13493-0.14408
Sporting CP
Moreirense		73.1%
9.8%		17.2%
-385
+1000
-420
+1100
3
0		-0.26876-0.26334-0.31351
Nacional
Arouca		27.2%
45.1%		27.7%
+250
+122
+205
+135
0
3		-0.82734-0.90084-0.79613
Santa Clara
Alverca		46.9%
25.4%		27.6%
+144
+232
+165
+200
1
1		-1.16002-1.13029-1.28638
Tondela
Estrela		32.5%
39.7%		27.8%
+180
+195
+175
+190
2
0		-1.05866-1.06352-1.12448
Moreirense
Rio Ave		35.5%
35.4%		29.1%
+120
+260
+130
+235
2
1		-0.82860-0.88242-1.03493
Famalicao
Sporting CP		8.3%
76.8%		14.9%
+850
-312
+900
-330
0
1		-0.32143-0.31278-0.26416
Estoril
AVS		44.5%
26.9%		28.6%
-134
+330
-130
+325
0
3		-1.49830-1.49620-1.31476
Porto
Nacional		67.4%
13.0%		19.5%
-244
+700
-265
+725
1
0		-0.38317-0.37021-0.39448
Braga
Gil Vicente FC		44.7%
27.5%		27.8%
-103
+340
+110
+295
1
2		-1.52399-1.42437-1.29211
Estrela
Vitoria		13.2%
67.2%		19.6%
+550
-167
+550
-175
1
2		-0.50436-0.50073-0.39815
Arouca
Casa Pia AC		39.5%
30.9%		29.6%
+152
+208
+150
+200
2
3		-1.16219-1.14816-1.17480
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).