Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 13, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Gil Vicente FC
Casa Pia AC 		48.2%
24.6%		27.1%
+116
+290
+110
+305
1.40
0.92		2.32
o2+100
u2-120

Vitoria
Rio Ave 		45.0%
26.7%		28.3%
+144
+200
+140
+210
1.29
0.93		2.22
o2¼-108
u2¼-110

AVS
Sporting CP 		3.9%
86.1%		10.0%
+2300
-1429
+3250
-2300
0.52
2.95		3.47
o3¼-120
u3½-120

Games for Dec 12, 2025
Games for Dec 14, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tondela
Benfica		5.3%
83.3%		11.3%
+1532
-577
+1800
-750
0
3		-0.19751-0.17326-0.18228
Sporting CP
Nacional		78.3%
7.4%		14.3%
-408
+1073
-400
+970
4
1		-0.25836-0.27402-0.24467
Vitoria
Moreirense		43.8%
28.2%		28.0%
+150
+208
+150
+205
0
2		-1.16235-1.16437-1.26436
Porto
Gil Vicente FC		59.2%
17.6%		23.2%
-228
+667
-260
+700
2
0		-0.40254-0.37545-0.52449
Arouca
Sporting CP		5.2%
82.5%		12.3%
+1385
-512
+1325
-560
0
6		-0.21762-0.21585-0.19275
Moreirense
Santa Clara		17.1%
59.7%		23.2%
+375
-105
+350
+100
1
0		-1.59558-1.55296-1.76843
Braga
Alverca		52.1%
22.8%		25.0%
-151
+450
-160
+455
3
0		-0.54535-0.53618-0.65164
Nacional
Rio Ave		27.0%
45.2%		27.8%
+255
+119
+255
+115
1
1		-1.24723-1.24258-1.28100
Benfica
Estrela		82.9%
5.3%		11.7%
-476
+1200
-440
+1100
1
0		-0.24627-0.25549-0.18715
Estoril
Vitoria		13.7%
65.3%		21.0%
+337
-116
+365
-130
2
3		-0.66147-0.61984-0.42607
Famalicao
Tondela		37.3%
34.8%		27.9%
+101
+315
-105
+330
1
0		-0.73704-0.72017-0.98714
Casa Pia AC
AVS		27.9%
44.1%		28.0%
+178
+169
+165
+190
2
0		-1.09377-1.02340-1.27633
Vitoria
Porto		17.6%
59.4%		22.9%
+629
-213
+610
-210
0
3		-0.42214-0.44164-0.51904
Estrela
Estoril		11.0%
70.0%		19.0%
+405
-138
+410
-130
1
1		-1.33503-1.28826-1.66231
Tondela
Braga		10.8%
72.1%		17.2%
+601
-189
+640
-210
0
3		-0.45345-0.43888-0.32744
Alverca
Moreirense		23.8%
49.7%		26.5%
+326
-101
+335
+100
1
2		-0.72677-0.74429-0.69870
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).