Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alverca
Tondela		30.8%
42.1%		27.1%
+208
+165
+200
+160
1
1		-1.13339-1.14863-1.30401
Benfica
Santa Clara		68.0%
12.4%		19.7%
-172
+575
-185
+580
2
1		-0.49456-0.48339-0.38624
Sporting CP
Porto		28.8%
43.9%		27.3%
+208
+152
+205
+150
1
1		-1.18780-1.18061-1.29935
AVS
Famalicao		12.3%
69.0%		18.7%
+650
-204
+600
-225
1
3		-0.43008-0.41895-0.37177
Alverca
Benfica		3.6%
87.4%		9.0%
+1300
-565
+2100
-625
1
2		-0.21592-0.19757-0.13439
Rio Ave
Braga		9.6%
73.2%		17.2%
+1500
-625
+1400
-575
0
3		-0.18977-0.20923-0.31263
Casa Pia AC
Nacional		20.7%
56.2%		23.1%
+370
-122
+370
-125
0
0		-1.32024-1.31572-1.46542
Vitoria
Arouca		40.5%
30.2%		29.2%
+165
+190
+160
+185
2
3		-1.10262-1.09419-1.19653
Tondela
Estoril		20.7%
54.4%		24.9%
+370
-135
+390
-150
2
2		-1.42283-1.44847-1.39062
Gil Vicente FC
Moreirense		42.0%
28.2%		29.7%
+112
+300
+115
+280
2
1		-0.79675-0.81507-0.86721
Santa Clara
Estrela		44.9%
27.3%		27.7%
-107
+355
-105
+345
0
1		-1.56691-1.54113-1.29711
Porto
Casa Pia AC		79.4%
6.6%		13.9%
-385
+1300
-410
+1150
1
2		-2.67047-2.57505-2.71402
Braga
AVS		65.2%
13.4%		21.4%
-294
+1000
-330
+980
4
0		-0.31152-0.31397-0.42737
Benfica
Tondela		76.5%
8.5%		15.0%
-345
+1000
-360
+1025
0
0		-1.78856-1.77160-1.89725
Nacional
Sporting CP		4.8%
84.1%		11.0%
+1600
-667
+2400
-1075
1
2		-0.17284-0.13786-0.17300
Famalicao
Gil Vicente FC		32.9%
38.7%		28.5%
+180
+185
+185
+175
0
5		-1.08889-1.05834-0.95016
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).