Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 13, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Gil Vicente FC
Casa Pia AC 		48.2%
24.6%		27.1%
+116
+285
+110
+305
1.40
0.92		2.32
o2+102
u2-120

Vitoria
Rio Ave 		45.0%
26.7%		28.3%
+144
+200
+140
+210
1.29
0.93		2.22
o2¼-108
u2¼-111

AVS
Sporting CP 		3.9%
86.1%		10.0%
+2200
-1250
+3250
-2300
0.52
2.95		3.47
o3¼-124
u3½-122

Games for Dec 12, 2025
Games for Dec 14, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Santa Clara
Famalicao		26.5%
47.1%		26.3%
+267
+128
+275
+120
0
3		-0.85628-0.83637-0.75209
AVS
Arouca		16.8%
59.8%		23.5%
+346
-129
+405
-140
1
3		-0.63220-0.58933-0.51468
Gil Vicente FC
Nacional		33.6%
37.3%		29.2%
+203
+171
+190
+175
2
0		-1.14479-1.11663-1.09124
Sporting CP
Casa Pia AC		76.7%
8.0%		15.3%
-283
+802
-300
+850
2
0		-0.33628-0.33774-0.26496
AVS
FC Vizela		31.2%
40.1%		28.7%
+354
-121
+350
-125
2
2		-1.36152-1.34519-1.24806
FC Vizela
AVS		21.1%
53.7%		25.2%

+190
+155
0
3		-0.98438-0.62232
Benfica
Braga		44.4%
29.5%		26.1%
-175
+466
-190
+500
1
1		-1.54571-1.52956-1.34151
Moreirense
AVS		29.0%
42.6%		28.4%
+340
-111
+330
-110
3
0		-1.52551-1.50787-1.23619
Santa Clara
SC Farense		37.3%
32.7%		30.0%
+178
+175
+175
+175
2
1		-1.05581-1.06025-0.98497
Vitoria
Sporting CP		8.9%
74.9%		16.2%
+900
-315
+960
-360
0
2		-0.30783-0.29618-0.28907
Nacional
Porto		5.1%
83.5%		11.5%
+845
-322
+800
-320
0
3		-0.30808-0.32223-0.18087
Boavista
Arouca		16.0%
61.3%		22.7%
+283
+105
+280
-105
1
4		-0.73900-0.72081-0.48929
Estrela
Estoril		24.5%
48.3%		27.2%
+173
+160
+160
+175
0
4		-1.00893-1.06161-0.72703
Gil Vicente FC
Rio Ave		27.0%
44.2%		28.8%
+162
+181
+165
+180
1
1		-1.24862-1.19806-1.24493
Casa Pia AC
Famalicao		20.1%
56.3%		23.7%
+330
-110
+350
-120
1
2		-0.68246-0.65433-0.57504
Porto
Boavista		76.3%
8.2%		15.5%
-245
+697
-245
+605
2
1		-0.39666-0.39297-0.27090
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).