Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Arouca
Famalicao 		19.3%
57.7%		23.0%
+340
-125
+350
-125
0.94
1.80		2.74
o2¼-137
u2½-115

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Famalicao
Moreirense		40.8%
31.5%		27.7%
+140
+212
+125
+235
2
2		-1.21164-1.22806-1.30582
Alverca
Casa Pia AC		32.9%
37.8%		29.3%
+200
+154
+195
+160
2
0		-1.15208-1.13199-1.11027
AVS
Vitoria		12.1%
68.4%		19.5%
+400
-126
+385
-130
0
4		-0.62273-0.61856-0.37948
Casa Pia AC
Benfica		3.5%
87.5%		8.9%
+1508
-548
+1350
-600
2
2		-2.11180-2.12930-2.41419
Moreirense
Braga		11.4%
70.4%		18.2%
+725
-232
+750
-260
1
2		-0.39020-0.37459-0.35027
Porto
Famalicao		59.2%
18.4%		22.4%
-154
+475
-170
+475
1
0		-0.52953-0.51184-0.52494
Nacional
Estrela		35.1%
35.8%		29.1%
+240
+136
+220
+140
1
1		-1.18211-1.18185-1.23392
Gil Vicente FC
AVS		39.4%
31.4%		29.3%
-133
+440
-165
+510
1
1		-1.32829-1.38350-1.22847
Sporting CP
Santa Clara		60.8%
16.8%		22.4%
-236
+725
-260
+750
2
1		-0.39209-0.37459-0.49719
Vitoria
Tondela		38.8%
32.6%		28.6%
+166
+198
+175
+175
1
0		-1.00398-1.06025-0.94641
Rio Ave
Alverca		32.0%
37.9%		30.0%
+250
+121
+265
+115
1
1		-1.24500-1.21345-1.20254
Arouca
Estoril		24.9%
47.2%		27.9%
+300
+100
+285
-105
3
4		-0.72054-0.71756-0.75109
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente FC		30.8%
40.1%		29.0%
+365
+102
+315
+110
0
1		-0.73424-0.79118-0.91270
Braga
Porto		12.5%
68.7%		18.8%
+550
-181
+550
-195
1
2		-0.47805-0.46291-0.37612
Moreirense
Arouca		25.8%
46.2%		28.0%
+191
+170
+190
+155
2
0		-1.08963-1.11301-1.35390
Tondela
AVS		36.8%
34.3%		28.9%
+151
+215
+145
+220
2
2		-1.18019-1.16254-1.23991
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).